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In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

Consider a space object in an orbit about the earth. An uncertain initial state can be represented as a point cloud which can be propagated to later times by the laws of Newtonian motion. If the state of the object is represented in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-25 John T. Kent , Shambo Bhattacharjee , Weston R. Faber , Islam I. Hussein

Kalman filter-based algorithms are fundamental for mobile robots, as they provide a computationally efficient solution to the challenging problem of state estimation. However, they rely on two main assumptions that are difficult to satisfy…

This paper studies the problem of distributed state estimation (DSE) over sensor networks on matrix Lie groups, which is crucial for applications where system states evolve on Lie groups rather than vector spaces. We propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-27 Zhian Ruan , Yizhi Zhou

Bayesian Federated Learning (FL) offers a principled framework to account for the uncertainty caused by limitations in the data available at the nodes implementing collaborative training. In Bayesian FL, nodes exchange information about…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-10 Luca Barbieri , Osvaldo Simeone , Monica Nicoli

Kalman filtering is a widely used framework for Bayesian estimation. The partitioned update Kalman filter applies a Kalman filter update in parts so that the most linear parts of measurements are applied first. In this paper, we generalize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Matti Raitoharju , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Robert Piché

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

We study state estimation for discrete-time linear stochastic systems under distributional ambiguity in the initial state, process noise, and measurement noise. We propose a noise-centric distributionally robust Kalman filter (DRKF) based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We propose an efficient online approximate Bayesian inference algorithm for estimating the parameters of a nonlinear function from a potentially non-stationary data stream. The method is based on the extended Kalman filter (EKF), but uses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Peter G. Chang , Gerardo Durán-Martín , Alexander Y Shestopaloff , Matt Jones , Kevin Murphy

The Distributed Diffusion Kalman Filter (DDKF) algorithm in all its magnitude has earned great attention lately and has shown an elaborate way to address the issue of distributed optimization over networks. Estimation and tracking of a…

This paper investigates the state estimation problem for unknown linear systems subject to both process and measurement noise. Based on a prior input-output trajectory sampled at a higher frequency and a prior state trajectory sampled at a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-23 Peihu Duan , Tao Liu , Yu Xing , Karl Henrik Johansson

We consider optimal signalling and control of discrete-time nonlinear partially observable stochastic systems in state space form. In the first part of the paper, we characterize the operational {\it control-coding capacity}, $C_{FB}$ in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Stelios Louka

Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has been widely used in state estimation and parameter estimation for the dynamic system where observational data is obtained sequentially in time. To reduce uncertainty and accelerate posterior inference, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Yuming Ba , Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

We present a novel Kalman filter for spatiotemporal systems called the numerical Gaussian process Kalman filter (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been introduced as a physics informed machine learning method for simulating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

Kalman filtering is a classic state estimation technique used in application areas such as signal processing and autonomous control of vehicles. It is now being used to solve problems in computer systems such as controlling the voltage and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-01 Yan Pei , Swarnendu Biswas , Donald S. Fussell , Keshav Pingali

Bayes' rule has enabled innumerable powerful algorithms of statistical signal processing and statistical machine learning. However, when model misspecifications exist in prior and/or data distributions, the direct application of Bayes' rule…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Shixiong Wang

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

This paper describes a novel tracking filter, designed primarily for use in collision avoidance systems on autonomous surface vehicles (ASVs). The proposed methodology leverages real-time kinematic information broadcast via the Automatic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Blake Cole , Gabriel Schamberg