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We propose a principled kernel-based policy iteration algorithm to solve the continuous-state Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). In contrast to most decision-theoretic planning frameworks, which assume fully known state transition models, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Junhong Xu , Kai Yin , Lantao Liu

This note investigates core properties of martingales, emphasizing the measure-theoretic formulation of conditional expectation, the martingale transform, and the upcrossing lemma. These results lead to the Martingale Convergence Theorem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Xiandong Zou

One of the benefits of using executable specifications such as Behavioral Programming (BP) is the ability to align the system implementation with its requirements. This is facilitated in BP by a protocol that allows independent…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Tom Yaacov , Achiya Elyasaf , Gera Weiss

Monotone processes, just like martingales, can often be recovered from their final values. Examples include running maxima of supermartingales, as well as running maxima, local times, and various integral functionals of sticky processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Martin Larsson

Active matter has been intensely studied for its wealth of intriguing properties such as collective motion, motility-induced phase separation (MIPS), and giant fluctuations away from criticality. However, the precise connection of active…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-17 Juliane U. Klamser , Sebastian C. Kapfer , Werner Krauth

We develop a martingale approximation framework yielding quantitative maximal large deviations estimates for invertible dynamical systems. From suitable decay of correlations, we deduce these estimates and, as an application, we obtain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-08 José F. Alves , João S. Matias , Ian Melbourne

In this paper we introduce a method for resolving multi-parameter likelihoods by fixing all parameter values, but two. Evaluation of those two variables is followed by iteratively cycling through each of the parameters in turn until…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-10 Joel S. Jayson

In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

Response functions $\langle A_x(t) B_y(0)\rangle$ for one-dimensional strongly correlated quantum many-body systems can be computed with matrix product state (MPS) techniques. Especially, when one is interested in spectral functions or…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-03-21 Moritz Binder , Thomas Barthel

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

This paper is devoted to the study of the second-order variational analysis of spectral functions. It is well-known that spectral functions can be expressed as a composite function of symmetric functions and eigenvalue functions. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Ashkan Mohammadi , Ebrahim Sarabi

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are standard models for probabilistic systems with non-deterministic behaviours. Mean payoff (or long-run average reward) provides a mathematically elegant formalism to express performance related…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

This work is devoted to P\'olya-Young urns, a class of periodic P\'olya urns of importance in the analysis of Young tableaux. We provide several extension of the previous results of Banderier, Marchal and Wallner [Ann. Prob. (2020)] on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Markus Kuba

We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

In this paper we introduce and study the concept of optimal and surely optimal dual martingales in the context of dual valuation of Bermudan options, and outline the development of new algorithms in this context. We provide a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-14 John Schoenmakers , Junbo Huang , Jianing Zhang

It is well-known that the distribution over functions induced through a zero-mean iid prior distribution over the parameters of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) converges to a Gaussian process (GP), under mild conditions. We extend this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Russell Tsuchida , Fred Roosta , Marcus Gallagher

We study the termination problem for nondeterministic recursive probabilistic programs. First, we show that a ranking-supermartingales-based approach is both sound and complete for bounded terminiation (i.e., bounded expected termination…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-01-12 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Hongfei Fu

In this paper we prove a functional limit theorem for the weighted profile of a $b$-ary tree. For the proof we use classical martingales connected to branching Markov processes and a generalized version of the profile-polynomial martingale.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Eva-Maria Schopp

We consider a market model where there are two levels of information. The public information generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about a random time. This random time can…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Tahir Choulli , Catherine Daveloose , Michèle Vanmaele

In this article, we introduce a new parameterized family of topological descriptors, taking the form of candidate decompositions, for multi-parameter persistence modules, and we identify a subfamily of these descriptors, that we call…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2025-10-30 David Loiseaux , Mathieu Carrière , Andrew J. Blumberg