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Related papers: Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Triple Exponent…

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Total solar irradiance variations, about 0.1% between solar activity maximum and minimum, are available from accurate satellite measurements since 1978 and thus do not provide useful information on longer-term secular trends. Recently,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-23 S. Sello

In this work we analyse a set of benchmark methods for solar irradiance forecasting based on the clear-sky index, namely, persistence, climatology, smart-persistence and convex combination (CC) of persistence and climatology. To assess the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-03-29 Rodrigo Alonso-Suárez , Daniel Aicardi , Franco Marchesoni-Acland

The engineering of solar power applications, such as photovoltaic energy (PV) or thermal solar energy requires the knowledge of the solar resource available for the solar energy system. This solar resource is generally obtained from…

Space Physics · Physics 2014-10-17 Jonathan Leloux , Luis Narvarte , Loreto Gonzalez-Bonilla

Space weather is a matter of practical importance in our modern society. Predictions of forecoming solar cycles mean amplitude and duration are currently being made based on flux-transport numerical models of the solar dynamo. Interested in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-05 Sabrina Maite Sanchez , Alexandre Fournier , Julien Aubert

Due to the rise in the use of renewable energies as an alternative to traditional ones, and especially solar energy, there is increasing interest in studying how to address photovoltaic forecasting in the face of the challenge of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Ines Montoya-Espinagosa , Antonio Agudo

Since the late 1970s, successive satellite missions have been monitoring the sun's activity and recording the total solar irradiance (TSI). Some of these measurements have lasted for more than a decade. In order to obtain a seamless record…

Solar-thermal evaporation, a traditional steam generation method for solar desalination, has received numerous attentions in recent years due to the significant increase in efficiency by adopting interfacial evaporation. While most of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-09 Xiao Luo , Jincheng Shi , Changying Zhao , Zhouyang Luo , Xiaokun Gu , Hua Bao

Modeling and predicting solar events, particularly the solar ramping event, is critical for improving situational awareness for solar power generation systems. It has been acknowledged that weather conditions such as temperature, humidity,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-20 Minghe Zhang , Chen Xu , Andy Sun , Feng Qiu , Yao Xie

Global and regional climate model projections are useful for gauging future patterns of climate variables, including solar radiation, but data from these models is often too coarse to assess local impacts. Within the context of solar…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-21 Maggie Bailey , Doug Nychka , Manajit Sengupta , Jaemo Yang , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Solar photovoltaic power generation has achieved grid parity in a number of countries during the last decade. This revolution has begun in countries where the solar radiation intensity is not very high. Solar resource maps created by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-12 B. Ravindra

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

High penetration of solar power introduces new challenges in the operation of distribution systems. Considering the highly volatile nature of solar power output due to changes in cloud coverage, maintaining the power balance and operating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-01 Hossein Panamtash , Rubin York , Paul Brooker , Justin Kramer , Qun Zhou Sun

Due to non-homogeneous mass distribution and non-uniform velocity rate inside the Sun, the solar outer shape is distorted in latitude. In this paper, we analyze the consequences of a temporal change in this figure on the luminosity. To do…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-08-31 Z. Fazel , J. P. Rozelot , S. Lefebvre , A. Ajabshirizadeh , S. Pireaux

Clouds cast shadows on the surface and locally enhance solar irradiance by absorbing and scattering sunlight, resulting in fast and large solar irradiance fluctuations on the surface. Typical spatiotemporal scales and driving mechanisms of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-09 Wouter Mol , Bart van Stratum , Wouter Knap , Chiel van Heerwaarden

Solar flare X-ray emission results from rapidly increasing temperatures and emission measures in flaring active region loops. To date, observations from the X-Ray Sensor (XRS) onboard the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-03-07 Daniel F. Ryan , Ryan O. Milligan , Peter T. Gallagher , Brian R. Dennis , A. Kim Tolbert , Richard A. Schwartz , C. Alex Young

Long-term sensor network deployments demand careful power management. While managing power requires understanding the amount of energy harvestable from the local environment, current solar prediction methods rely only on recent local…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Elizabeth Basha , Raja Jurdak , Daniela Rus

Effective utilization of photovoltaic (PV) plants requires weather variability robust global solar radiation (GSR) forecasting models. Random weather turbulence phenomena coupled with assumptions of clear sky model as suggested by Hottel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Subhadip Dey , Sawon Pratiher , Saon Banerjee , Chanchal Kumar Mukherjee

The rapid proliferation of solar energy has significantly expedited the integration of photovoltaic (PV) systems into contemporary power grids. Considering that the cloud dynamics frequently induce rapid fluctuations in solar irradiance,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-21 Huapeng Lin , Miao Yu

Total and spectral solar irradiance are key parameters in the assessment of solar influence on changes in the Earth's climate. We present a reconstruction of daily solar irradiance obtained using the SATIRE-S model spanning 1974 to 2013…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-07 K. L. Yeo , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , K. H. Glassmeier

The variability of the solar resource is mainly caused by cloud passing, causing rapid power fluctuations on the output of photovoltaic (PV) systems. The fluctuations can negatively impact the electric grid, and smoothing techniques can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-28 Ana Foles , Luis Fialho , Manuel Collares-Pereira , Pedro Horta
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