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In this paper, we introduce a time-continuous production model that enables random machine failures, where the failure probability depends historically on the production itself. This bidirectional relationship between historical failure…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Stephan Knapp , Simone Göttlich

The formal verification of large probabilistic models is important and challenging. Exploiting the concurrency that is often present is one way to address this problem. Here we study a restricted class of asynchronous distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-08-06 Sumit Kumar Jha , Madhavan Mukund , Ratul Saha , P S Thiagarajan

Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo algorithms enable simulation from a posterior distribution, whilst only needing to access a sub-sample of data at each iteration. We show how they can be implemented in settings where the parameters live…

The main goal of this paper is to apply the so-called policy iteration algorithm (PIA) for the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-17 O. L. V. Costa , F. Dufour

We consider the class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP), whose state space is $\R\_{+}^{*}$, that possess an increasing deterministic motion and that shrink deterministically when they jump. Well known examples for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Nathalie Krell

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

Information-theory based variational principles have proven effective at providing scalable uncertainty quantification (i.e. robustness) bounds for quantities of interest in the presence of nonparametric model-form uncertainty. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Jeremiah Birrell , Luc Rey-Bellet

We introduce simple conditions ensuring that invariant distributions of a Feller Markov chain on a compact Riemannian manifold are absolutely continuous with a lower semi-continuous, continuous or smooth density with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

Random dynamical systems with countably many maps which admit countable Markov partitions on complete metric spaces such that the resulting Markov systems are uniformly continuous and contractive are considered. A non-degeneracy and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Ivan Werner

In this article we propose a qualitative (ordinal) counterpart for the Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes model (POMDP) in which the uncertainty, as well as the preferences of the agent, are modeled by possibility distributions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Regis Sabbadin

We revisit closed-loop performance guarantees for Model Predictive Control in the deterministic and stochastic cases, which extend to novel performance results applicable to receding horizon control of Partially Observable Markov Decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

While run-and-tumble particles are a foundational model for self-propelled particles as bacteria or Janus particles, the analytical derivation of their steady state from the microscopic details is still an open problem. By directly modeling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-07 Leo Hahn , Arnaud Guillin , Manon Michel

We study approximations of evolving probability measures by an interacting particle system. The particle system dynamics is a combination of independent Markov chain moves and importance sampling/resampling steps. Under global regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-12 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

We construct an invariant measure for a piecewise analytic interval map whose Lyapunov exponent is not defined. Moreover, for a set of full measure, the pointwise Lyapunov exponent is not defined. This map has a Lorenz-like singularity and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Jorge Olivares-Vinales

Stochastic convergence of discrete time Markov processes has been analysed based on a dual Lyapunov approach. Using some existing results on ergodic theory of Markov processes, it has been shown that existence of a properly subinvariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Özkan Karabacak , Horia Cornean , Rafael Wisniewski

We study the problem of exponential mixing and large deviations for discrete-time Markov processes associated with a class of random dynamical systems. Under some dissipativity and regularisation hypotheses for the underlying deterministic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Vojkan Jaksic , Vahagn Nersesyan , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

Piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs) form a versatile class of stochastic hybrid systems that combine continuous diffusion processes with discrete event-driven dynamics, enabling flexible modelling of complex real-world hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Sascha Desmettre , Agnes Mallinger , Amira Meddah , Irene Tubikanec

This paper presents a novel approach to pricing American options using piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs), a type of generalised stochastic hybrid system that integrates continuous dynamics with discrete jump processes. Standard…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-13 Evelyn Buckwar , Sascha Desmettre , Agnes Mallinger , Amira Meddah

We extend the theory of labeled Markov processes with internal nondeterminism, a fundamental concept for the further development of a process theory with abstraction on nondeterministic continuous probabilistic systems. We define…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Pedro D'Argenio , Pedro Sánchez Terraf , Nicolás Wolovick

Let $X:=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be an ergodic Markov process on $\real^d$, and $p>0$. We derive upper bounds of the $p$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant measure and the empirical measures of the Markov process $X$. For this we assume,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang , Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu