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In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets. Many well-known aspects, such as the L\'evy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory. The theory fully takes into…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Enrico Scalas , Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

The quantitative analysis of financial time series often reveals two distinct features that standard Gaussian frameworks fail to capture: heavy-tailed marginal distributions and the phenomenon of extreme co-movements.While extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Debanjana Datta , Diganta Mukherjee

Following the birth of Bitcoin and the introduction of the Ethereum ERC20 protocol a decade ago, recent years have witnessed a growing number of cryptographic tokens that are being introduced by researchers, private sector companies and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-20 Shahar Somin , Goren Gordon , Alex Pentland , Erez Shmueli , Yaniv Altshuler

In light of micro-scale inefficiencies induced by the high degree of fragmentation of the Bitcoin trading landscape, we utilize a granular data set comprised of orderbook and trades data from the most liquid Bitcoin markets, in order to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Jakob Albers , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

We study here numerically the behavior of an ideal gas like model of markets having only one non-consumable commodity. We investigate the behavior of the steady-state distributions of money, commodity and total wealth, as the dynamics of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Arnab Chatterjee , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

Over the last decade, the cryptocurrency market has experienced unprecedented growth, emerging as a prominent financial market. As this market rapidly evolves, it necessitates re-evaluating which cryptocurrencies command the market and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-31 Arnav Hiray , Pratvi Shah , Vishwa Shah , Agam Shah , Sudheer Chava , Mukesh Tiwari

We propose a doubly subordinated Levy process, NDIG, to model the time series properties of the cryptocurrency bitcoin. NDIG captures the skew and fat-tailed properties of bitcoin prices and gives rise to an arbitrage free, option pricing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-31 Abootaleb Shirvani , Stefan Mittnik , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli

In this paper, we explore some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market using the BTC-USD exchange rate time series of historical intraday data from 2013 to 2020. Bitcoin presents some very peculiar idiosyncrasies, like the absence of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 F. N. M. de Sousa Filho , J. N. Silva , M. A. Bertella , E. Brigatti

Bitcoin is a digital financial asset that is devoid of a central authority. This makes it distinct from traditional financial assets in a number of ways. For instance, the total number of tokens is limited and it has not explicit use value.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-20 C. R. da Cunha , R. da Silva

Since its conception, the cryptocurrency market has been frequently described as an immature market, characterized by significant swings in volatility and occasionally described as lacking rhyme or reason. There has been great speculation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-14 Nick James , Max Menzies

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-31 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Cryptocurrency is a form of digital currency using cryptographic techniques in a decentralized system for secure peer-to-peer transactions. It is gaining much popularity over traditional methods of payments because it facilitates a very…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Samyak Jain , Sarthak Johari , Radhakrishnan Delhibabu

A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting times t on price returns x. A joint probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

Using 1-min returns of Bitcoin prices, we investigate statistical properties and multifractality of a Bitcoin time series. We find that the 1-min return distribution is fat-tailed, and kurtosis largely deviates from the Gaussian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-29 Tetsuya Takaishi

L\'evy processes are widely used in financial modeling due to their ability to capture discontinuities and heavy tails, which are common in high-frequency asset return data. However, parameter estimation remains a challenge when associated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-01 Nicolas Coloma , William Kleiber

We report on the emergence of scaling laws in the temporal evolution of the daily closing values of the S\&P 500 index prices and its modeling based on the L\'evy flights in two dimensions (2D). The efficacy of our proposed model is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Hediye Yarahmadi , Abbas Ali Saberi

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

Crypto-coins (also known as cryptocurrencies) are tradable digital assets. Notable examples include Bitcoin, Ether and Litecoin. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Pasquale De Rosa , Valerio Schiavoni

This paper is the first of a series of short articles that explore the efficiency of major cryptocurrency markets. A number of statistical tests and properties of statistical distributions will be used to assess if cryptocurrency markets…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-01 Eugene Tartakovsky , Ksenia Plesovskikh , Anastasiia Sarmakeeva , Alexander Bibik
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