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We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Bayesian model reduction provides an efficient approach for comparing the performance of all nested sub-models of a model, without re-evaluating any of these sub-models. Until now, Bayesian model reduction has been applied mainly in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Jim Beckers , Bart van Erp , Ziyue Zhao , Kirill Kondrashov , Bert de Vries

Many applications, especially in physics and other sciences, call for easily interpretable and robust machine learning techniques. We propose a fully gradient-based technique for training radial basis function networks with an efficient and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Jussi Määttä , Viacheslav Bazaliy , Jyri Kimari , Flyura Djurabekova , Kai Nordlund , Teemu Roos

We present an online model-based reinforcement learning algorithm suitable for controlling complex robotic systems directly in the real world. Unlike prevailing sim-to-real pipelines that rely on extensive offline simulation and model-free…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Fang Nan , Hao Ma , Qinghua Guan , Josie Hughes , Michael Muehlebach , Marco Hutter

In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic sequence model that excels at capturing high variability in time series data, both across sequences and within an individual sequence. Our method uses temporal latent variables to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Ruizhi Deng , Yanshuai Cao , Bo Chang , Leonid Sigal , Greg Mori , Marcus A. Brubaker

In this paper we propose and discuss variance reduction techniques for the estimation of quantiles of the output of a complex model with random input parameters. These techniques are based on the use of a reduced model, such as a metamodel…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Iooss

Item Response Theory (IRT) is a ubiquitous model for understanding human behaviors and attitudes based on their responses to questions. Large modern datasets offer opportunities to capture more nuances in human behavior, potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Mike Wu , Richard L. Davis , Benjamin W. Domingue , Chris Piech , Noah Goodman

Biological organisms are open, adaptve systems that can respond to changes in environment in specific ways. Adaptation and response can be posed as an optimization problem, with a tradeoff between the benefit obtained from a response and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-17 Suman G. Das , Madan Rao , Garud Iyengar

We present a method for computing reduced-order models of parameterized partial differential equation solutions. The key analytical tool is the singular value expansion of the parameterized solution, which we approximate with a singular…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Paul G. Constantine , David F. Gleich , Yangyang Hou , Jeremy Templeton

A network community-based reduced-order model is developed to capture key interactions amongst coherent structures in high-dimensional unsteady vortical flows. The present approach is data-inspired and founded on network-theoretic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-20 Muralikrishnan Gopalakrishnan Meena , Aditya G. Nair , Kunihiko Taira

Recurrent event time data arise in many studies, including biomedicine, public health, marketing, and social media analysis. High-dimensional recurrent event data involving many event types and observations have become prevalent with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Fangyi Chen , Yunxiao Chen , Zhiliang Ying , Kangjie Zhou

Current methods for pattern analysis in time series mainly rely on statistical features or probabilistic learning and inference methods to identify patterns and trends in the data. Such methods do not generalize well when applied to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Yushan Huang , Yuchen Zhao , Alexander Capstick , Francesca Palermo , Hamed Haddadi , Payam Barnaghi

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

This work proposes a Stochastic Variational Deep Kernel Learning method for the data-driven discovery of low-dimensional dynamical models from high-dimensional noisy data. The framework is composed of an encoder that compresses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Nicolò Botteghi , Mengwu Guo , Christoph Brune

Chemical reaction networks (CRNs) provide a convenient language for modelling a broad variety of biological systems. These models are commonly studied with respect to the time series they generate in deterministic or stochastic simulations.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-11 Ozan Kahramanoğulları

We propose a simple algorithm to train stochastic neural networks to draw samples from given target distributions for probabilistic inference. Our method is based on iteratively adjusting the neural network parameters so that the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Yihao Feng , Dilin Wang , Qiang Liu

Feature ranking and selection is a widely used approach in various applications of supervised dimensionality reduction in discriminative machine learning. Nevertheless there exists significant evidence on feature ranking and selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Ozan Ozdenizci , Deniz Erdogmus

Data-driven, machine learning (ML) models of atomistic interactions are often based on flexible and non-physical functions that can relate nuanced aspects of atomic arrangements into predictions of energies and forces. As a result, these…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-05-15 Bartosz Barzdajn , Christopher P. Race

Model selection is a cornerstone of statistical inference, where information criteria are widely employed to balance model fit and complexity. However, classical likelihood-based criteria are often highly sensitive to contamination,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Udita Goswami , Shuvashree Mondal

Based on the theory of stochastic chemical kinetics, the inherent randomness and stochasticity of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state continuous-time Markov chains. The analysis of such processes is,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Andreychenko Alexander , Mikeev Linar , Wolf Verena