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In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the simulation of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) on networks under general uncertainty in parameters, initial conditions, or boundary conditions. The approach is based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Jake J. Harmon , Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik

Fractional diffusion has become a fundamental tool for the modeling of multiscale and heterogeneous phenomena. However, due to its nonlocal nature, its accurate numerical approximation is delicate. We survey our research program on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-19 Ricardo H. Nochetto , Enrique Otarola , Abner J. Salgado

In this work we consider a class of uncertainty quantification problems where the system performance or reliability is characterized by a scalar parameter $y$. The performance parameter $y$ is random due to the presence of various sources…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Keyi Wu , Jinglai Li

While standard approaches to optimisation focus on producing a single high-performing solution, Quality-Diversity (QD) algorithms allow large diverse collections of such solutions to be found. If QD has proven promising across a large…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Manon Flageat , Luca Grillotti , Antoine Cully

We consider the computational challenges associated with uncertainty quantification involved in parameter estimation such as seismic slowness and hydraulic transmissivity fields. The reconstruction of these parameters can be mathematically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Arvind K. Saibaba , Peter K. Kitanidis

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

Foundation models for segmentation such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM) family exhibit strong zero-shot performance, but remain vulnerable in shifted or limited-knowledge domains. This work investigates whether uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Jesse Brouwers , Xiaoyan Xing , Alexander Timans

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Elliptic estimates in Hardy classes are proved on domains with minimally smooth boundary. The methodology is different from the original methods of Chang/Krantz/Stein.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Steven G. Krantz , Song-Ying Li

We develop a unified nonparametric framework for sharp partial identification and inference on inequality indices when the data contain coarsened observations of the variable of interest. We characterize the extremal allocations for all…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 James Banks , Thomas Glinnan , Tatiana Komarova

A methodology is presented for the numerical solution of nonlinear elliptic systems in unbounded domains, consisting of three elements. First, the problem is posed on a finite domain by means of a proper nonlinear change of variables. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Francisco Bernal , Ali Safdari-Vaighani , Elisabeth Larsson

We consider some boundary value tracking optimal control problem constrained by a Neumann boundary value problem for some elliptic partial differential equation where the control acts as right-hand side. This optimal control problem can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Ulrich Langer , Richard Löscher , Olaf Steinbach , Huidong Yang

This paper is concerned with the derivation of conforming and non-conforming functional a posteriori error estimates for elliptic boundary value problems in exterior domains. These estimates provide computable and guaranteed upper and lower…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Olli Mali , Alexey Muzalevskiy , Dirk Pauly

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

For shape optimization problems, governed by elliptic equations with Dirichlet boundary condition and random coefficients, we utilize a penalization technique to get the approximate problem. We consider that uncertainties exists in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Xiaowei Pang

We identify an issue in recent approaches to learning-based control that reformulate systems with uncertain dynamics using a stochastic differential equation. Specifically, we discuss the approximation that replaces a model with fixed but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-12 Thomas Lew , Apoorva Sharma , James Harrison , Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

This work investigates an elliptic optimal control problem defined on uncertain domains and discretized by a fictitious domain finite element method and cut elements. Key ingredients of the study are to manage cases considering the usually…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Aikaterini Aretaki , Efthymios N. Karatzas

Aleatoric uncertainty quantification seeks for distributional knowledge of random responses, which is important for reliability analysis and robustness improvement in machine learning applications. Previous research on aleatoric uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang