Related papers: On efficient prediction and predictive density est…

The $\beta$ ensembles are a class of eigenvalue probability densities which generalise the invariant ensembles of classical random matrix theory. In the case of the Gaussian and Laguerre weights, the corresponding eigenvalue densities are…

Given $n$ independent random vectors with common density $f$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we study the weak convergence of three empirical-measure based estimators of the convex $\lambda$-level set $L_\lambda$ of $f$, namely the excess mass set, the…

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

A fairly general procedure is studied to perturbate a multivariate density satisfying a weak form of multivariate symmetry, and to generate a whole set of non-symmetric densities. The approach is general enough to encompass a number of…

We formulate uncertainty relations for mutually unbiased bases and symmetric informationally complete measurements in terms of the R\'{e}nyi and Tsallis entropies. For arbitrary number of mutually unbiased bases in a finite-dimensional…

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Motivated by the home-field advantage in sports, we propose a generalized Bradley--Terry model that incorporates covariate information for paired comparisons. It has an $n$-dimensional merit parameter $\bs{\beta}$ and a fixed-dimensional…

For normal canonical models, and more generally a vast array of general spherically symmetric location-scale models with a residual vector, we consider estimating the (univariate) location parameter when it is lower bounded. We provide…

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density $p^\star$, the goal is to construct an estimator $\widehat{p}$ such that $\mathrm{KL}(p^\star,\widehat{p})$ is small with high…

Density estimation plays a fundamental role in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Parametric, nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation methods have been proposed in the literature. Semiparametric density models are…

To the frequentist who computes posteriors, not all priors are useful asymptotically: in this paper Schwartz's 1965 Kullback-Leibler condition is generalised to enable frequentist interpretation of convergence of posterior distributions…

Constructing flexible probability models that respect constraints on key functionals -- such as the mean -- is a fundamental problem in nonparametric statistics. Existing approaches lack systematic tools for enforcing such constraints while…

We study the algorithmic problem of robust mean estimation of an identity covariance Gaussian in the presence of mean-shift contamination. In this contamination model, we are given a set of points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ generated i.i.d. via the…

In the random coefficients binary choice model, a binary variable equals 1 iff an index $X^\top\beta$ is positive.The vectors $X$ and $\beta$ are independent and belong to the sphere $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$.We prove lower…

We consider a new statistical model called the circulant correlation structure model, which is a multivariate Gaussian model with unknown covariance matrix and has a scale-invariance property. We construct shrinkage priors for the circulant…

In this study, simultaneous predictive distributions for independent Poisson observables were considered and the performance of predictive distributions was evaluated using the Kullback-Leibler (K-L) loss. This study proposes a class of…

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Given a random sample from some unknown density $f_0: \mathbb R \to [0, \infty)$ we devise Haar wavelet estimators for $f_0$ with variable resolution levels constructed from localised test procedures (as in Lepski, Mammen, and Spokoiny…