Related papers: On efficient prediction and predictive density est…

We consider a semiparametric convolution model. We observe random variables having a distribution given by the convolution of some unknown density $f$ and some partially known noise density $g$. In this work, $g$ is assumed exponentially…

We study the extinction efficiencies as well as scattering properties of particles of different porosity. Calculations are performed for porous pseudospheres with small size (Rayleigh) inclusions using the discrete dipole approximation.…

This paper discusses predictive densities under the Kullback--Leibler loss for high-dimensional Poisson sequence models under sparsity constraints. Sparsity in count data implies zero-inflation. We present a class of Bayes predictive…

Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skew-t distributed measurement noise are presented. The proposed algorithms improve upon our earlier proposed filter and smoother using the mean field…

This work considers a problem of estimating a mixing probability density $f$ in the setting of discrete mixture models. The paper consists of three parts. The first part focuses on the construction of an $L_1$ consistent estimator of $f$.…

We prove an isoperimetric inequality for probability measures $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with density proportional to $\exp(-\phi(\lambda | x|))$, where $|x|$ is the euclidean norm on $\mathbb{R}^n$ and $\phi$ is a non-decreasing convex…

Traditionally, systems governed by linear Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) are spatially discretized to exploit their algebraic structure and reduce the computational effort for controlling them. Due to beneficial insights of the PDEs,…

Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…

We initiate a study of the following problem: Given a continuous domain $\Omega$ along with its convex hull $\mathcal{K}$, a point $A \in \mathcal{K}$ and a prior measure $\mu$ on $\Omega$, find the probability density over $\Omega$ whose…

Let $f \in L^{2}(\mathbb{R}^n)$ and suppose we are interested in computing its average at a fixed scale. This is easy: we pick the density $u_{}$ of a probability distribution with mean 0 and some moment at the desired scale and compute the…

We find necessary and sufficient conditions for a finite $K$-bi-invariant measure on a compact Gelfand pair $(G, K)$ to have a square-integrable density. For convolution semigroups, this is equivalent to having a continuous density in…

In this work we establish the posterior consistency for a parametrized family of partially observed, fully dominated Markov models. As a main assumption, we suppose that the prior distribution assigns positive probability to all…

Practical diffusion sampling is a numerical approximation problem: under a fixed inference budget, one must simulate a reverse-time ODE or SDE using only a limited number of denoising steps, so discretization error is often the dominant…

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a random sample from the Gamma distribution with density $f(x)=\lambda^{\alpha}x^{\alpha-1}e^{-\lambda x}/\Gamma(\alpha)$, $x>0$, where both $\alpha>0$ (the shape parameter) and $\lambda>0$ (the reciprocal scale…

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

We consider symmetric hypothesis testing in quantum statistics, where the hypotheses are density operators on a finite-dimensional complex Hilbert space, representing states of a finite quantum system. We prove a lower bound on the…

We are interested in the Euler-Maruyama dicretization of the SDE dXt =b(t,Xt)dt+ dZt, X0 =x$\in$Rd, where Zt is a symmetric isotropic d-dimensional $\alpha$-stable process, $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2] and the drift b $\in$ L$\infty$…

The problem is sequence prediction in the following setting. A sequence x1,..., xn,... of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) mu. After observing each outcome, it is required to…