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Statistical inference for spatial processes from partially realized or scattered data has seen voluminous developments in diverse areas ranging from environmental sciences to business and economics. Inference on the associated rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Didong Li , Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee

The goal of this paper is to develop a theory of graphon-valued stochastic processes, and to construct and analyse a natural class of such processes arising from population genetics. We consider finite populations where individuals change…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Siva Athreya , Frank den Hollander , Adrian Röllin

We study the multi-strategy stochastic evolutionary game with death-birth updating in expanding spatial populations of size $N\to \infty$. The model is a voter model perturbation. For typical populations, we require perturbation strengths…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Yu-Ting Chen

We propose a geometric latent-subspace framework for generative modeling of discrete data. Specifically, we introduce latent subspaces in the exponential parameter space of product manifolds of categorical distributions as a novel method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Daniel Gonzalez-Alvarado , Jonas Cassel , Stefania Petra , Christoph Schnörr

This chapter is an overview of foundational results in the mathematical theory of replicator systems. Its primary aim is to provide a unified framework for the mathematical formalisation of evolutionary processes in the spirit of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-08 A. S. Bratus , S. Drozhzhin , T. Yakushkina

We introduce the minimal maximally predictive models ({\epsilon}-machines) of processes generated by certain hidden semi-Markov models. Their causal states are either hybrid discrete-continuous or continuous random variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Sarah E. Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We study dynamical reversibility in stationary stochastic processes from an information theoretic perspective. Extending earlier work on the reversibility of Markov chains, we focus on finitary processes with arbitrarily long conditional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield , Joerg Reichardt

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

The purpose of this paper is to provide a both comprehensive and summarizing account on recent results about analysis and geometry on configuration spaces $\Gamma_X$ over Riemannian manifolds $X$. Particular emphasis is given to a complete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Michael Röckner

The parallel mutation-selection evolutionary dynamics, in which mutation and replication are independent events, is solved exactly in the case that the Malthusian fitnesses associated to the genomes are described by the Random Energy Model…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-10-14 David B. Saakian , José F. Fontanari

Stochastic generative models enable us to capture the geometric structure of a data manifold lying in a high dimensional space through a Riemannian metric in the latent space. However, its practical use is rather limited mainly due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-10 Georgios Arvanitidis , Bogdan Georgiev , Bernhard Schölkopf

The purpose of this Note is twofold: First, we introduce the general formalism of evolutionary genetics dynamics involving fitnesses, under both the deterministic and stochastic setups, and chiefly in discrete-time. In the process, we…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Thierry Huillet

A novel Markovian network evolution model is introduced and analysed by means of information theory. It will be proved that the model, called Network Evolution Chain, is a stationary and ergodic stochastic process. Therefore, the Asymptotic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Amirmohammad Farzaneh , Justin P. Coon

Structured population models are a class of general evolution equations which are widely used in the study of biological systems. Many theoretical methods are available for establishing existence and stability of steady states of general…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Inom Mirzaev , David M. Bortz

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

We propose a mathematical framework for natural selection in finite populations. Traditionally, many of the selection-based processes used to describe cultural and genetic evolution (such as imitation and birth-death models) have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-18 Alex McAvoy

We develop a continuous mathematical model of population dynamics that describes the sequential emergence of new genotypes under limited resources. The framework models genotype density as a nonlinear flow in mutation space, combining…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 Alexander Bratus , Tatiana Yakushkina , Vladimir Posvyanski

We merge computational mechanics' definition of causal states (predictively-equivalent histories) with reproducing-kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) representation inference. The result is a widely-applicable method that infers causal structure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Nicolas Brodu , James P. Crutchfield

Representations of population models in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed, in which each particle has a `type', typically recording both spatial position and genetic type, and a level. For finite intensity models, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz
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