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Accounting for the complexity of psychological theories requires methods that can predict not only changes in the means of latent variables -- such as personality factors, creativity, or intelligence -- but also changes in their variances.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Luna Fazio , Paul-Christian Bürkner

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

Recently nonparametric functional model with functional responses has been proposed within the functional reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (fRKHS) framework. Motivated by its superior performance and also its limitations, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-11 Heng Lian

Simulating turbulent fluid flows is a computationally prohibitive task, as it requires the resolution of fine-scale structures and the capture of complex nonlinear interactions across multiple scales. This is particularly the case in direct…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ismaël Zighed , Nicolas Thome , Patrick Gallinari , Taraneh Sayadi

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Challenges in multi-fidelity modeling relate to accuracy, uncertainty estimation and high-dimensionality. A novel additive structure is introduced in which the highest fidelity solution is written as a sum of the lowest fidelity solution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Wei W. Xing , Akeel A. Shah , Peng Wang , Shandian Zhe Qian Fu , Robert. M. Kirby

We develop latent variable models for Bayesian learning based low-rank matrix completion and reconstruction from linear measurements. For under-determined systems, the developed methods are shown to reconstruct low-rank matrices when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-26 Martin Sundin , Cristian R. Rojas , Magnus Jansson , Saikat Chatterjee

Most modern imaging systems incorporate a computational pipeline to infer the image of interest from acquired measurements. The Bayesian approach to solve such ill-posed inverse problems involves the characterization of the posterior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Pakshal Bohra , Thanh-an Pham , Jonathan Dong , Michael Unser

We introduce the concept of conjugate prior models for a given likelihood function in Bayesian spatial inversion. The conjugate class of prior models can be selection extended and still remain conjugate. We demonstrate the generality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Henning Omre , Kjartan Rimstad

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Many real-world applications demand accurate and fast predictions, as well as reliable uncertainty estimates. However, quantifying uncertainty on high-dimensional predictions is still a severely under-investigated problem, especially when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Saurabh Deshpande , Hussein Rappel , Mark Hobbs , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

Turbulent flows have historically presented formidable challenges to predictive computational modeling. Traditional numerical simulations often require vast computational resources, making them infeasible for numerous engineering…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-15 Han Gao , Xu Han , Xiantao Fan , Luning Sun , Li-Ping Liu , Lian Duan , Jian-Xun Wang

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

We compute probabilistic controlled invariant sets for nonlinear systems using Gaussian process state space models, which are data-driven models that account for unmodeled and unknown nonlinear dynamics. We propose a semidefinite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Paul Griffioen , Bingzhuo Zhong , Murat Arcak , Majid Zamani , Marco Caccamo

Variational autoencoders often assume isotropic Gaussian priors and mean-field posteriors, hence do not exploit structure in scenarios where we may expect similarity or consistency across latent variables. Gaussian process variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-17 Metod Jazbec , Michael Pearce , Vincent Fortuin

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch