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Related papers: Robust estimation of superhedging prices

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This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

This paper addresses a novel \emph{cost-sensitive} distributionally robust log-optimal portfolio problem, where the investor faces \emph{ambiguous} return distributions, and a general convex transaction cost model is incorporated. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Chung-Han Hsieh , Xiao-Rou Yu

In this paper we derive robust super- and subhedging dualities for contingent claims that can depend on several underlying assets. In addition to strict super- and subhedging, we also consider relaxed versions which, instead of eliminating…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-14 Patrick Cheridito , Michael Kupper , Ludovic Tangpi

We examine the empirical performance of some parametric and nonparametric estimators of prices of options with a fixed time to maturity, focusing on variance-gamma and Heston models on one side, and on expansions in Hermite functions on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Carlo Marinelli , Stefano D'Addona

In markets with transaction costs, consistent price systems play the same role as martingale measures in frictionless markets. We prove that if a continuous price process has conditional full support, then it admits consistent price systems…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Paolo Guasoni , Miklós Rásonyi , Walter Schachermayer

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Donghan Kim , Abhishek Tilva

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Existence of stochastic financial equilibria giving rise to semimartingale asset prices is established under a general class of assumptions. These equilibria are expressed in real terms and span complete markets or markets with withdrawal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gordan Zitkovic

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

As operators acting on the undetermined final settlement of a derivative security, expectation is linear but price is non-linear. When the market of underlying securities is incomplete, non-linearity emerges from the bid-offer around the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Paul McCloud

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

We propose a novel structural estimation framework in which we train a surrogate of an economic model with deep neural networks. Our methodology alleviates the curse of dimensionality and speeds up the evaluation and parameter estimation by…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Hui Chen , Antoine Didisheim , Simon Scheidegger

Neural networks are vulnerable to adversarial examples and researchers have proposed many heuristic attack and defense mechanisms. We address this problem through the principled lens of distributionally robust optimization, which guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-04 Aman Sinha , Hongseok Namkoong , Riccardo Volpi , John Duchi

This research investigates pricing financial options based on the traditional martingale theory of arbitrage pricing applied to neural SDEs. We treat neural SDEs as universal It\^o process approximators. In this way we can lift all…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-28 Timothy DeLise

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

A well known result in stochastic analysis reads as follows: for an $\mathbb{R}$-valued super-martingale $X = (X_t)_{0\leq t \leq T}$ such that the terminal value $X_T$ is non-negative, we have that the entire process $X$ is non-negative.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-27 Walter Schachermayer

This paper focuses on the performance and the robustness analysis of stochastic jump linear systems. The state trajectory under stochastic jump process becomes random variables, which brings forth the probability distributions in the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan