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Precision medicine leverages patient heterogeneity to estimate individualized treatment regimens, formalized, data-driven approaches designed to match patients with optimal treatments. In the presence of competing events, where multiple…

Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud

Estimating the effect of a treatment on a given outcome, conditioned on a vector of covariates, is central in many applications. However, learning the impact of a treatment on a continuous temporal response, when the covariates suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Guangyi Zhang , Reza Ashrafi , Anne Juuti , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen

Case-control designs are an important tool in contrasting the effects of well-defined treatments. In this paper, we reconsider classical concepts, assumptions and principles and explore when the results of case-control studies can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-06 Bas B. L. Penning de Vries , Rolf H. H. Groenwold

This paper presents a framework for incentivising colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programs from the perspective of policymakers and under the assumption that the citizens participating in the program have misaligned objectives. To do so,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-08 Daniel Corrales , David Rios Insua

Personalized head and neck cancer therapeutics have greatly improved survival rates for patients, but are often leading to understudied long-lasting symptoms which affect quality of life. Sequential rule mining (SRM) is a promising…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Carla Floricel , Andrew Wentzel , Abdallah Mohamed , C. David Fuller , Guadalupe Canahuate , G. Elisabeta Marai

Causal inference has received great attention across different fields from economics, statistics, education, medicine, to machine learning. Within this area, inferring causal effects at individual level in observational studies has become…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-16 Thai Pham

Accurately quantifying uncertainty of individual treatment effects (ITEs) across multiple decision points is crucial for personalized decision-making in fields such as healthcare, finance, education, and online marketplaces. Previous work…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Swaraj Bose , Walter Dempsey

We introduce classifiers based on directional quantiles. We derive theoretical results for selecting optimal quantile levels given a direction, and, conversely, an optimal direction given a quantile level. We also show that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-14 Alessio Farcomeni , Marco Geraci , Cinzia Viroli

Causal inference is capable of estimating the treatment effect (i.e., the causal effect of treatment on the outcome) to benefit the decision making in various domains. One fundamental challenge in this research is that the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Qian Li , Zhichao Wang , Shaowu Liu , Gang Li , Guandong Xu

Conventional treatment policies map patient covariates to a single recommended intervention in order to maximize expected clinical outcomes. Although a rich body of causal inference methods has been developed to estimate such policies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Laura Fuentes-Vicente , Mathieu Even , Gaëlle Dormion , Antoine Chambaz , Uri Shalit , Julie Josse

Users of a personalised recommendation system face a dilemma: recommendations can be improved by learning from data, but only if the other users are willing to share their private information. Good personalised predictions are vitally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-12 Antti Honkela , Mrinal Das , Arttu Nieminen , Onur Dikmen , Samuel Kaski

Most clinical prediction studies are developed from retrospective cohorts and reported as if all patient information were observed at once. In practice, clinicians face a more consequential question: \emph{when is there already enough…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Hui-Mean Foo , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

An important objective in the development of targeted therapies is to identify the populations where the treatment under consideration has positive benefit risk balance. We consider pivotal clinical trials, where the efficacy of a treatment…

Fast and cheaper next generation sequencing technologies will generate unprecedentedly massive and highly-dimensional genomic and epigenomic variation data. In the near future, a routine part of medical record will include the sequenced…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-17 Momiao Xiong , Long Ma

Algorithms and technologies are essential tools that pervade all aspects of our daily lives. In the last decades, health care research benefited from new computer-based recruiting methods, the use of federated architectures for data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Chiara Criscuolo , Tommaso Dolci , Mattia Salnitri

Identifying patients who benefit from a treatment is a key aspect of personalized medicine, which allows the development of individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Many machine learning methods have been proposed to create such rules.…

Public policies and medical interventions often involve dynamic treatment assignments, in which individuals receive a sequence of interventions over multiple stages. We study the statistical learning of optimal dynamic treatment regimes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-21 Shosei Sakaguchi

This paper analyzes difference-in-differences designs with a continuous treatment. We show that treatment-on-the-treated-type parameters are identified under a parallel trends assumption analogous to the binary treatment case. However,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-05 Brantly Callaway , Andrew Goodman-Bacon , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

Foundation models in healthcare have largely adopted self supervised pretraining objectives inherited from natural language processing and computer vision, emphasizing reconstruction and large scale representation learning prior to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yang Zhang , Li Fan , Samuel Lawrence , Shi Li
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