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The global financial crisis in 2007-2009 demonstrated that systemic risk can spread all over the world through a complex web of financial linkages, yet we still lack fundamental knowledge about the evolution of the financial web. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Taro Takaguchi

Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-28 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

Financial market is an example of complex system, which is characterized by a highly intricate organization and the emergence of collective behavior. In this paper, we quantify this emergent dynamics in the financial market by using…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Thomas Kauê Dal'Maso Peron , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang

Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-23 Aymeric Vié , Alfredo J. Morales

There is empirical evidence from a range of disciplines that as the connectivity of a network increases, we observe an increase in the average fitness of the system. But at the same time, there is an increase in the proportion of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-11 Paul Ormerod , Rich Colbaugh

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

In normal times, it is assumed that financial institutions operating in non-overlapping sectors have complementary and distinct outcomes, typically reflected in mostly uncorrelated outcomes and asset returns. Such is the reasoning behind…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-19 Sayuj Choudhari , Richard Licheng Zhu

Definition of frustration is expressed by transitivity of binary entanglement relation in considered complex system. Extending this definition into n-ary relation a hierarchy of frustrations is derived. As a complex system the U.S.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-16 Krzysztof Sokalski

The financial crisis clearly illustrated the importance of characterizing the level of 'systemic' risk associated with an entire credit network, rather than with single institutions. However, the interplay between financial distress and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-10 Tiziano Squartini , Iman van Lelyveld , Diego Garlaschelli

We study the mean field approximation of a recent model of cascades on networks relevant to the investigation of systemic risk control in financial networks. In the model, the hypothesis of a trend reinforcement in the stochastic process…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-11-13 Jan Lorenz , Stefano Battiston

The latest financial crisis has painfully revealed the dangers arising from a globally interconnected financial system. Conventional approaches based on the notion of the existence of equilibrium and those which rely on statistical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-12 V. Sasidevan , Nils Bertschinger

Bank crisis is challenging to define but can be manifested through bank contagion. This study presents a comprehensive framework grounded in nonlinear time series analysis to identify potential early warning signals (EWS) for impending…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-17 Shijia Song , Handong Li

This paper investigates the dynamics of in the S&P500 index from daily returns for the last 30 years. Using a stochastic geometry technique, each S&P500 yearly batch of data is embedded in a subspace that can be accurately described by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

Human and artificial organizations may be described as networks of interacting parts. Those parts exchange data and control information and, as a result of these interactions, organizations produce emergent behaviors and purposes -- traits…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-05-22 Vincenzo De Florio

We study the collective dynamics of oscillator networks with phase-repulsive coupling, considering various network sizes and topologies. The notion of link frustration is introduced to characterize and quantify the network dynamical states.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Zoran Levnajić

The economical world consists of a highly interconnected and interdependent network of firms. Here we develop temporal and structural network tools to analyze the state of the economy. Our analysis indicates that a strong clustering can be…

For the class of noisy time-delay linear consensus networks, we obtain explicit formulas for risk of large fluctuations of a scalar observable as a function of Laplacian spectrum and its eigenvectors. It is shown that there is an intrinsic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Christoforos Somarakis , Yaser Ghaedsharaf , Nader Motee

Financial crises are known as crashes that result in a sudden loss of value of financial assets in large part and they continue to occur from time to time surprisingly. In order to discover features of the financial network, the pairwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-11 MohammadReza Zahedian , Mahsa Bagherikalhor , Andrey Trufanov , G. Reza Jafari

Over the last two decades, network science has greatly advanced our understanding of how the collective behaviors of a complex system emerge from the interactions among its basic units. Multiplex networks, i.e. networks with many layers,…

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