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This paper presents PDx, an adaptive, machine learning operations (MLOps) driven decision system for forecasting credit risk using probability of default (PD) modeling in digital lending. While conventional PD models prioritize predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Sultan Amed , Chan Yu Hang , Sayantan Banerjee

The robustness of fault detection algorithms against uncertainty is crucial in the real-world industrial environment. Recently, a new probabilistic design scheme called distributionally robust fault detection (DRFD) has emerged and received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Yulin Feng , Hailang Jin , Steven X. Ding , Hao Ye , Chao Shang

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

We present a new methodology for utilising machine learning technology in symbolic computation research. We explain how a well known human-designed heuristic to make the choice of variable ordering in cylindrical algebraic decomposition may…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Dorian Florescu , Matthew England

In this paper, we propose to utilize Automated Machine Learning to adaptively search a neural architecture for deepfake detection. This is the first time to employ automated machine learning for deepfake detection. Based on our explored…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Ping Liu , Yuewei Lin , Yang He , Yunchao Wei , Liangli Zhen , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Rick Siow Mong Goh , Jingen Liu

Previous studies have shown that hazard ratios between treatment groups estimated with the Cox model are uninterpretable because the unspecified baseline hazard of the model fails to identify temporal change in the risk set composition due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-04 Takashi Hayakawa , Satoshi Asai

Credit risk default prediction remains a cornerstone of risk management in the financial industry. The task involves estimating the likelihood that a borrower will fail to meet debt obligations, an objective critical for lending decisions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Swattik Maiti , Ritik Pratap Singh , Fardina Fathmiul Alam

Despite the power of deep neural networks for a wide range of tasks, an overconfident prediction issue has limited their practical use in many safety-critical applications. Many recent works have been proposed to mitigate this issue, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Jooyoung Moon , Jihyo Kim , Younghak Shin , Sangheum Hwang

In this paper we propose a method to obtain global explanations for trained black-box classifiers by sampling their decision function to learn alternative interpretable models. The envisaged approach provides a unified solution to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Irene Unceta , Jordi Nin , Oriol Pujol

We present a multilayer network model for credit risk assessment. Our model accounts for multiple connections between borrowers (such as their geographic location and their economic activity) and allows for explicitly modelling the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-27 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo

The application of machine learning to support the processing of large datasets holds promise in many industries, including financial services. However, practical issues for the full adoption of machine learning remain with the focus being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Ismini Psychoula , Andreas Gutmann , Pradip Mainali , S. H. Lee , Paul Dunphy , Fabien A. P. Petitcolas

Accurate prediction of loan defaults is a central challenge in credit risk management, particularly in modern financial datasets characterised by nonlinear relationships, class imbalance, and evolving borrower behaviour. Traditional…

Many modern computational approaches to classical problems in quantitative finance are formulated as empirical loss minimization (ERM), allowing direct applications of classical results from statistical machine learning. These methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-27 A. Max Reppen , H. Mete Soner

Financial fraud is an issue with far reaching consequences in the finance industry, government, corporate sectors, and for ordinary consumers. Increasing dependence on new technologies such as cloud and mobile computing in recent years has…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-10-27 J. West , Maumita Bhattacharya , R. Islam

Given a malfunctioning system, sequential diagnosis aims at identifying the root cause of the failure in terms of abnormally behaving system components. As initial system observations usually do not suffice to deterministically pin down…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Patrick Rodler , Wolfgang Schmid

The special and important problems of default prediction for municipal bonds are addressed using a combination of text embeddings from a pre-trained transformer network, a fully connected neural network, and synthetic oversampling. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Luke Jordan

Fault detection in industrial plants is a hot research area as more and more sensor data are being collected throughout the industrial process. Automatic data-driven approaches are widely needed and seen as a promising area of investment.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-21 Wei Xiao

The management of chronic Heart Failure (HF) presents significant challenges in modern healthcare, requiring continuous monitoring, early detection of exacerbations, and personalized treatment strategies. In this paper, we present a…

Checklists have been widely recognized as effective tools for completing complex tasks in a systematic manner. Although originally intended for use in procedural tasks, their interpretability and ease of use have led to their adoption for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yukti Makhija , Edward De Brouwer , Rahul G. Krishnan

In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir