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Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

Online leading has disrupted the traditional consumer banking sector with more effective loan processing. Risk prediction and monitoring is critical for the success of the business model. Traditional credit score models fall short in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Xiaojiao Yu

Credit risk in the China's bond market has become increasingly evident, creating a progressively escalating risk of default for credit bond investors. Given the current incomplete and inaccurate bond information disclosure, timely tracking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-09 Kai Ren

Banks are important for the development of economies in any financial ecosystem through consumer and business loans. Lending, however, presents risks; thus, banks have to determine the applicant's financial position to reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 F M Ahosanul Haque , Md. Mahedi Hassan

We propose some machine-learning-based algorithms to solve hedging problems in incomplete markets. Sources of incompleteness cover illiquidity, untradable risk factors, discrete hedging dates and transaction costs. The proposed algorithms…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-13 Simon Fécamp , Joseph Mikael , Xavier Warin

Prompt-based learning has been proved to be an effective way in pre-trained language models (PLMs), especially in low-resource scenarios like few-shot settings. However, the trustworthiness of PLMs is of paramount significance and potential…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Zihao Tan , Qingliang Chen , Wenbin Zhu , Yongjian Huang

A key challenge in satisficing planning is to use multiple heuristics within one heuristic search. An aggregation of multiple heuristic estimates, for example by taking the maximum, has the disadvantage that bad estimates of a single…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-13 David Speck , André Biedenkapp , Frank Hutter , Robert Mattmüller , Marius Lindauer

A typical modern optimization technique is usually either heuristic or metaheuristic. This technique has managed to solve some optimization problems in the research area of science, engineering, and industry. However, implementation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-10 L. M. Rasdi Rere , Mohamad Ivan Fanany , Aniati Murni Arymurthy

Credit card frauds are at an ever-increasing rate and have become a major problem in the financial sector. Because of these frauds, card users are hesitant in making purchases and both the merchants and financial institutions bear heavy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Thanh Thi Nguyen , Hammad Tahir , Mohamed Abdelrazek , Ali Babar

Loan default prediction is one of the most important and critical problems faced by banks and other financial institutions as it has a huge effect on profit. Although many traditional methods exist for mining information about a loan…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-07 Rising Odegua

The detection of frauds in credit card transactions is a major topic in financial research, of profound economic implications. While this has hitherto been tackled through data analysis techniques, the resemblances between this and other…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Massimiliano Zanin , Miguel Romance , Santiago Moral , Regino Criado

A new procedure is presented for the objective comparison and evaluation of default definitions. This allows the lender to find a default threshold at which the financial loss of a loan portfolio is minimised, in accordance with Basel II.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-01 Arno Botha , Conrad Beyers , Pieter de Villiers

Since the 1990s, there have been significant advances in the technology space and the e-Commerce area, leading to an exponential increase in demand for cashless payment solutions. This has led to increased demand for credit cards, bringing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-06 K. S. Naik

With the increase of credit card usage, the volume of credit card misuse also has significantly increased. As a result, financial organizations are working hard on developing and deploying credit card fraud detection methods, in order to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Niloofar Yousefi , Marie Alaghband , Ivan Garibay

The rapid development of artificial intelligence methods contributes to their wide applications for forecasting various financial risks in recent years. This study introduces a novel explainable case-based reasoning (CBR) approach without a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-20 Wei Li , Florentina Paraschiv , Georgios Sermpinis

Automatic machine learning (AutoML) is a key enabler of the mass deployment of the next generation of machine learning systems. A key desideratum for future ML systems is the automatic selection of models and hyperparameters. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Moe Kayali , Chi Wang

Deep learning adoption in the financial services industry has been limited due to a lack of model interpretability. However, several techniques have been proposed to explain predictions made by a neural network. We provide an initial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Ceena Modarres , Mark Ibrahim , Melissa Louie , John Paisley

Assessment of risk levels for existing credit accounts is important to the implementation of bank policies and offering financial products. This paper uses cluster analysis of behaviour of credit card accounts to help assess credit risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-13 Maha Bakoben , Tony Bellotti , Niall Adams

This study focuses on the problem of credit default prediction, builds a modeling framework based on machine learning, and conducts comparative experiments on a variety of mainstream classification algorithms. Through preprocessing, feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Shiqi Yang , Ziyi Huang , Wengran Xiao , Xinyu Shen

Default risk calculus plays a crucial role in portfolio optimization when the risky asset is under threat of bankruptcy. However, traditional stochastic control techniques are not applicable in this scenario, and additional assumptions are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-10 José A. Salmerón , Giulia Di Nunno , Bernardo D'Auria