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Related papers: Time Series Modeling on Dynamic Networks

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Processes on networks consist of two interdependent parts: the network topology, consisting of the links between nodes, and the dynamics, specified by some governing equations. This work considers the prediction of the future dynamics on an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-08 Bastian Prasse , Piet Van Mieghem

We derive asymptotic properties for a stochastic dynamic network model in a stochastic dynamic population. In the model, nodes give birth to new nodes until they die, each node being equipped with a social index given at birth. During the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Tom Britton , Mathias Lindholm , Tatyana Turova

We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent variable model, and these unobserved variables are included in a structural peer effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jae Ho Chang , Subhadeep Paul

In this paper I introduce a framework for modeling temporal communication networks and dynamical processes unfolding on such networks. The framework originates from the realization that there is a meaningful division of temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-24 Sune Lehmann

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

The rapid advancement of models based on artificial intelligence demands innovative monitoring techniques which can operate in real time with low computational costs. In machine learning, especially if we consider artificial neural networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anna Malinovskaya , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Philipp Otto

We propose an online algorithm for tracking a multidimensional time-varying parameter of a time series, which is also allowed to be a predictable process with respect to the underlying time series. The algorithm is driven by a gain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-15 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra

Given the growing number of available tools for modeling dynamic networks, the choice of a suitable model becomes central. The goal of this survey is to provide an overview of tie-oriented dynamic network models. The survey is focused on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Michael Lebacher , Göran Kauermann

We review selected results related to robustness of networked systems in finite and asymptotically large size regimes, under static and dynamical settings. In the static setting, within the framework of flow over finite networks, we discuss…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-17 Ketan Savla , Jeff S. Shamma , Munther A. Dahleh

Network structures underlie the dynamics of many complex phenomena, from gene regulation and foodwebs to power grids and social media. Yet, as they often cannot be observed directly, their connectivities must be inferred from observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Thomas Gaskin , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Mark Girolami

This paper focuses on the identification of dynamical systems with tailor-made model structures, where neural networks are used to approximate uncertain components and domain knowledge is retained, if available. These model structures are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

The study of temporal networks in discrete time has yielded numerous insights into time-dependent networked systems in a wide variety of applications. For many complex systems, however, it is useful to develop continuous-time models of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Xinzhe Zuo , Mason A Porter

Since its inception, control of data congestion on the Internet has been based on stochastic models. One of the first such models was Random Early Detection. Later, this model was reformulated as a dynamical system, with the average queue…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-24 José M. Amigó , Angel Giménez , Oscar Martínez-Bonastre , José Valero

Probabilistic time series forecasting involves estimating the distribution of future based on its history, which is essential for risk management in downstream decision-making. We propose a deep state space model for probabilistic time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Junchi Yan , Xiaokang Yang , Yaohui Jin

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

Time series data analysis is a critical component in various domains such as finance, healthcare, and meteorology. Despite the progress in deep learning for time series analysis, there remains a challenge in addressing the non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Han Yu , Peikun Guo , Akane Sano

Learning and forecasting stochastic time series is essential in various scientific fields. However, despite the proposals of nonlinear filters and deep-learning methods, it remains challenging to capture nonlinear dynamics from a few noisy…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Christian Donner , Anuj Mishra , Hideaki Shimazaki

The multivariate time series forecasting has attracted more and more attention because of its vital role in different fields in the real world, such as finance, traffic, and weather. In recent years, many research efforts have been proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu