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Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

We consider the problem of density estimation in the context of multiscale Langevin diffusion processes, where a single-scale homogenized surrogate model can be derived. In particular, our aim is to learn the density of the invariant…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Jaroslav I. Borodavka , Max Hirsch , Sebastian Krumscheid , Andrea Zanoni

We present a novel methodology based on filtered data and moving averages for estimating effective dynamics from observations of multiscale systems. We show in a semi-parametric framework of the Langevin type that our approach is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Giacomo Garegnani , Andrea Zanoni

We provide a general method to analyze the asymptotic properties of a variety of estimators of continuous time diffusion processes when the data are not only discretely sampled in time but the time separating successive observations may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yacine Ait-Sahalia , Per A. Mykland

We propose a novel method for drift estimation of multiscale diffusion processes when a sequence of discrete observations is given. For the Langevin dynamics in a two-scale potential, our approach relies on the eigenvalues and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Assyr Abdulle , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

We propose an efficient numerical strategy for simulating fluid flow through porous media with highly oscillatory characteristics. Specifically, we consider non-linear diffusion models. This scheme is based on the classical homogenization…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Manuela Bastidas , Carina Bringedal , Sorin Pop , Florin Radu

This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-18 Jimmy Olsson , Jonas Ströjby

In this article we consider the development of unbiased estimators of the Hessian, of the log-likelihood function with respect to parameters, for partially observed diffusion processes. These processes arise in numerous applications, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

The article considers parameter estimation constructing such as quasi-maximum likelyhood estimation and one step estimation in statistical models generated by solution of stochastic differential equation. It has been developed a software…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Dmytro Ivanenko , Rostyslav Pogorielov

We consider a multidimensional diffusion X with drift coefficient b({\alpha},X(t)) and diffusion coefficient {\epsilon}{\sigma}({\beta},X(t)). The diffusion is discretely observed at times t_k=k{\Delta} for k=1..n on a fixed interval [0,T].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-17 Romain Guy , Catherine Laredo , Elisabeta Vergu

This paper is the third part of our study started with Cattiaux, Le\'{o}n and Prieur [Stochastic Process. Appl. 124 (2014) 1236-1260; ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 11 (2014) 359-384]. For some ergodic Hamiltonian systems, we obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Patrick Cattiaux , José R. León , Clémentine Prieur

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe dynamical systems in science, but identifying parameters that explain experimental measurements is challenging. In particular, although ODEs are differentiable and would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Jonas Beck , Nathanael Bosch , Michael Deistler , Kyra L. Kadhim , Jakob H. Macke , Philipp Hennig , Philipp Berens

We study the problem of parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating parameters. Depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to zero relative to the homogenization parameter, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Alexandra Chronopoulou

Nonparametric density estimation is considered for a discretely observed stationary continuous-time process. For each of three given time sampling procedures either random or deterministic, we establish that histograms and frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-19 François-Xavier Lejeune

We consider the problem of estimating the common mean of independently sampled data, where samples are drawn in a possibly non-identical manner from symmetric, unimodal distributions with a common mean. This generalizes the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

In this work, we investigate a numerical procedure for recovering a space-dependent diffusion coefficient in a (sub)diffusion model from the given terminal data, and provide a rigorous numerical analysis of the procedure. By exploiting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Bangti Jin , Xiliang Lu , Qimeng Quan , Zhi Zhou

We consider the problem of frequency estimation by observations of the periodic diffusion process possesing ergodic properties in two different situations. The first one corresponds to continuously differentiable with respect to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Reinhard Höpfner , Yury A Kutoyants

In this paper we propose a general series method to estimate a semiparametric partially linear varying coefficient model. We establish the consistency and \sqrtn-normality property of the estimator of the finite-dimensional parameters of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ibrahim Ahmad , Sittisak Leelahanon , Qi Li

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to reduce the variance of a Monte Carlo estimator by an appropriate change of measure. In this work, we study importance sam- pling in the framework of diffusion process and consider the change…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte , Marcus Weber , Wei Zhang

This paper deals with a copies-based continuously differentiable and strictly decreasing estimator of the drift function for stochastic differential equations defining recurrent diffusion processes. The first part of our paper deals with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Nicolas Marie