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In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The quality of a tail model, which is determined by data from an unknown distribution, depends critically on the subset of data used to model the tail. Based on a suitably weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We employ a general Monte Carlo method to test composite hypotheses of goodness-of-fit for several popular multivariate models that can accommodate both asymmetry and heavy tails. Specifically, we consider weighted L2-type tests based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Maicon J. Karling , Marc G. Genton , Simos G. Meintanis

Understanding the shape of a distribution of data is of interest to people in a great variety of fields, as it may affect the types of algorithms used for that data. We study one such problem in the framework of distribution property…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Amartya Shankha Biswas , Kavya Ravichandran , Ronitt Rubinfeld

This paper provides comprehensive simulation results on the finite sample properties of the Diebold-Mariano (DM) test by Diebold and Mariano (1995) and the model confidence set (MCS) testing procedure by Hansen et al. (2011) applied to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-30 Lukas Bauer

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

The goodness-of-fit test for discrimination of two tail distribution using higher order statistics is proposed. The consistency of proposed test is proved for two different alternatives. We do not assume belonging the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Igor Vladimirovich Rodionov

We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing for a model that has at least one unknown parameter that cannot be eliminated by transformation. Examples of such problems can be as simple as testing whether a sample consists of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Sean van der Merwe

This paper attempts to provide a decision-theoretic foundation for the measurement of economic tail risk, which is not only closely related to utility theory but also relevant to statistical model uncertainty. The main result is that the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-18 Steven Kou , Xianhua Peng

The tail index, indicating the degree of fatness of the tail distribution, is an important component of extreme value theory since it dominates the asymptotic distribution of extreme values such as the sample maximum. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-12 Moosup Kim , Sangyeol Lee

The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

The objective of goodness-of-fit testing is to assess whether a dataset of observations is likely to have been drawn from a candidate probability distribution. This paper presents a rank-based family of goodness-of-fit tests that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Feras A. Saad , Cameron E. Freer , Nathanael L. Ackerman , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We consider goodness-of-fit tests for the distribution of the composed error in Stochastic Frontier Models. The proposed test statistic utilizes the characteristic function of the composed error term, and is formulated as a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Simos G. Meintanis , Christos K. Papadimitriou

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

In risk theory, financial asset returns often follow heavy-tailed distributions. Investors and risk managers used to compare risk measures as the value at risk or tail value at risk in order over the whole confidence levels to avoid the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Alfonso J. Bello , Julio Mulero , Miguel A. Sordo , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

We propose tests of fit for classes of distributions that include the Weibull, the Pareto and the Fr\'echet, distributions. The new tests employ the novel tool of the min--characteristic function and are based on an L2--type weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-20 S. G. Meintanis , B. Milošević , M. D. Jiménez-Gamero

In this work, the distributional properties of the goodness-of-fit term in likelihood-based information criteria are explored. These properties are then leveraged to construct a novel goodness-of-fit test for normal linear regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Scott H. Koeneman , Joseph E. Cavanaugh

We introduce a method to estimate simultaneously the tail and the threshold parameters of an extreme value regression model. This standard model finds its use in finance to assess the effect of market variables on extreme loss distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Julien Hambuckers , Marie Kratz , Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

We present the first method for assessing the relevance of a model-based clustering result in a general framework. Standard validation criteria, like the adjusted Rand index, rely on external labels to assess partition accuracy;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Salima El Kolei , Matthieu Marbac
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