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We consider the problem of flexible modeling of higher order Markov chains when an upper bound on the order of the chain is known but the true order and nature of the serial dependence are unknown. We propose Bayesian nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-21 Abhra Sarkar , David B. Dunson

We propose a framework for fitting fractional polynomials models as special cases of Bayesian Generalized Nonlinear Models, applying an adapted version of the Genetically Modified Mode Jumping Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Aliaksandr Hubin , Georg Heinze , Riccardo De Bin

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes combine continuous in time dynamics with jump events, the rates of which generally depend on the continuous variables and thus are not constants. This leads to a problem in a Monte-Carlo simulation…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-14 Arkady Pikovsky

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

The zig-zag process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process in position and velocity space. The process can be designed to have an arbitrary Gibbs type marginal probability density for its position coordinate, which makes it suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Joris Bierkens , Pierre Nyquist , Mikola C. Schlottke

In this article we study a class of stochastic functional differential equations driven by L\'{e}vy processes (in particular, $\alpha$-stable processes), and obtain the existence and uniqueness of Markov solutions in small time intervals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Xicheng Zhang

Machine learning techniques not only offer efficient tools for modelling dynamical systems from data, but can also be employed as frontline investigative instruments for the underlying physics. Nontrivial information about the original…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-24 Francesco Borra , Marco Baldovin

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Satyaki Mazumder , Sayantan Banerjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

In this paper, we propose a novel class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) that are designed to sample from probability distributions $\pi$ supported on a convex set $\mathcal{M}$. This class of PDMPs adapts the concept of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Joël Tatang Demano , Paul Dobson , Konstantinos Zygalakis

We propose a piecewise deterministic Markovian jump process in Hilbert space such that the covariance matrix of this stochastic process solves the thermodynamic quantum master equation. The proposed stochastic process is particularly simple…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-09 Hans Christian Öttinger

We extend Monte Carlo samplers based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP samplers) by formally defining different boundary conditions such as sticky floors, soft and hard walls and teleportation portals. This allows PDMP…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-15 Joris Bierkens , Sebastiano Grazzi , Gareth Roberts , Moritz Schauer

There are some positively divisible non-Markovian processes whose transition matrices satisfy the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation. These processes should also satisfy the Kolmogorov consistency conditions, an essential requirement for a process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Bilal Canturk , Heinz-Peter Breuer

A nonlinear Markov chain is a discrete time stochastic process whose transitions depend on both the current state and the current distribution of the process. The nonlinear Markov chain over a infinite state space can be identified by a…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Farrukh Mukhamedov , Otabek Khakimov , Ahmad Fadillah Embong

In the last years, many authors studied a class of continuous time semi-Markov processes obtained by time-changing Markov processes by hitting times of independent subordinators. Such processes are governed by integro-differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Angelica Pachon , Federico Polito , Costantino Ricciuti

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) such as the Bouncy Particle Sampler and the Zig-Zag Sampler, have gained attention as continuous-time counterparts of classical Markov chain Monte Carlo. We study their transient regime under…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-22 Sanket Agrawal , Joris Bierkens , Kengo Kamatani , Gareth O. Roberts

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

Markov matrices have an important role in the filed of stochastic processes. In this paper, we will show and prove a series of conclusions on Markov matrices and transformations rather than pay attention to stochastic processes although…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Chengshen Xu

In this article we propose a novel MCMC method based on deterministic transformations T: X x D --> X where X is the state-space and D is some set which may or may not be a subset of X. We refer to our new methodology as Transformation-based…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya
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