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Graphs are commonly used to model various complex systems, including social networks, power grids, transportation networks, and biological systems. In many applications, the connectivity of these networks can be expressed through the Mean…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Christian P. C. Franssen , Alessandro Zocca , Bernd F. Heidergott

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

State inference and parameter learning in sequential models can be successfully performed with approximation techniques that maximize the evidence lower bound to the marginal log-likelihood of the data distribution. These methods may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Helena Calatrava , Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Tales Imbiriba , Pau Closas

We present an intuitive, conceptual, but semi-rigorous introduction to the celebrated Markov Chain Monte Carlo method using a simple model of population dynamics as our motivation and focusing on a few elementary distributions.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Wenlong Wang

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo technique for efficiently estimating the likelihood of rare events by biasing the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By drawing weighted samples from a learned proposal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Liam A. Kruse , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This paper introduces a new approach of treating platoon systems using mean-variance control formulation. The underlying system is a controlled switching diffusion in which the random switching process is a continuous-time Markov chain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-22 Zhixin Yang , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang , Hongwei Zhang

We present several Monte Carlo strategies for simulating discrete-time Markov chains with continuous multi-dimensional state space; we focus on stratified techniques. We first analyze the variance of the calculation of the measure of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Rana Fakhereddine , Rami El Haddad , Christian Lécot

Direct simulation of biomolecular dynamics in thermal equilibrium is challenging due to the metastable nature of conformation dynamics and the computational cost of molecular dynamics. Biased or enhanced sampling methods may improve the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new Monte Carlo method based on importance sampling techniques for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The main idea is to combine random walk on squares or rectangles methods with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Madalina Deaconu , Antoine Lejay

High-quality random samples of quantum states are needed for a variety of tasks in quantum information and quantum computation. Searching the high-dimensional quantum state space for a global maximum of an objective function with many local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-28 Yi-Lin Seah , Jiangwei Shang , Hui Khoon Ng , David John Nott , Berthold-Georg Englert

Enriching Brownian motion with regenerations from a fixed regeneration distribution $\mu$ at a particular regeneration rate $\kappa$ results in a Markov process that has a target distribution $\pi$ as its invariant distribution. For the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Hector McKimm , Andi Q Wang , Murray Pollock , Christian P Robert , Gareth O Roberts

Rare events in non-linear dynamical systems are difficult to sample because of the sensitivity to perturbations of initial conditions and of complex landscapes in phase space. Here we discuss strategies to control these difficulties and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-18 Jorge C. Leitao , Joao M. V. P. Lopes , Eduardo G. Altmann

Transition path sampling is a method for estimating the rates of rare events in molecular systems based on the gradual transformation of a path distribution containing a small fraction of reactive trajectories into a biased distribution in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Pierre Terrier , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Manuel Athènes

Path integrals with complex actions are encountered for many physical systems ranging from spin- or mass-imbalanced atomic gases and graphene to quantum chromo-dynamics at finite density to the non-equilibrium evolution of quantum systems.…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2022-09-01 Lukas Kades , Martin Gärttner , Thomas Gasenzer , Jan M. Pawlowski

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Paul Fearnhead , Gareth Roberts

Estimating the probability that a sum of random variables (RVs) exceeds a given threshold is a well-known challenging problem. Closed-form expression of the sum distribution is usually intractable and presents an open problem. A crude Monte…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Nadhir Ben Rached , Fatma Benkhelifa , Abla Kammoun , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Raul Tempone

Markov chains are a common framework for individual-based state and time discrete models in ecology and evolution. Their use, however, is largely limited to systems with a low number of states, since the transition matrices involved pose…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-10 Katja Reichel , Valentin Bahier , Cédric Midoux , Jean-Pierre Masson , Solenn Stoeckel

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

Validating safety-critical autonomous systems in high-dimensional domains such as robotics presents a significant challenge. Existing black-box approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo may require an enormous number of samples, while…