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In this paper we propose a novel Bayesian methodology for Value-at-Risk computation based on parametric Product Partition Models. Value-at-Risk is a standard tool to measure and control the market risk of an asset or a portfolio, and it is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-15 Giacomo Bormetti , Maria Elena De Giuli , Danilo Delpini , Claudia Tarantola

The banking systems that deal with risk management depend on underlying risk measures. Following the Basel II accord, there are two separate methods by which banks may determine their capital requirement. The Value at Risk measure plays an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dominique Guégan , Wayne Tarrant

This paper introduces and studies factor risk measures. While risk measures only rely on the distribution of a loss random variable, in many cases risk needs to be measured relative to some major factors. In this paper, we introduce a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 Hirbod Assa , Peng Liu

Determining contributions by sub-portfolios or single exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital for credit risk is an important risk measurement task. Often economic capital is measured as Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the portfolio loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Dirk Tasche

In this paper we discuss a general methodology to compute the market risk measure over long time horizons and at extreme percentiles, which are the typical conditions needed for estimating Economic Capital. The proposed approach extends the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-12 Luca Spadafora , Marco Dubrovich , Marcello Terraneo

We present a computational method for measuring financial risk by estimating the Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall from financial series. We have made two assumptions: First, that the predictive distributions of the values of an asset…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 I. Garcia , J. Jimenez

Randomness in financial markets requires modern and robust multivariate models of risk measures. This paper proposes a new approach for modeling multivariate risk measures under Wasserstein barycenters of probability measures supported on…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-14 M. Andrea Arias-Serna , Jean-Michel Loubes , Francisco J. Caro-Lopera

We present and analyze a quantum algorithm to estimate credit risk more efficiently than Monte Carlo simulations can do on classical computers. More precisely, we estimate the economic capital requirement, i.e. the difference between the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-07-09 Daniel J. Egger , Ricardo Gacía Gutiérrez , Jordi Cahué Mestre , Stefan Woerner

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution ($\Delta$CoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-29 Jan Dhaene , Roger J. A. Laeven , Yiying Zhang

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-29 Christian Laudagé , Ivica Turkalj

The value-at-risk of a delta-gamma approximated derivatives portfolio can be computed by numerical integration of the characteristic function. However, while the choice of parameters in any numerical integration scheme is paramount, in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-27 Johannes Vitalis Siven , Jeffrey Todd Lins , Anna Szymkowiak-Have

Value-at-risk is one of the important subjects that extensively used by researchers and practitioners for measuring and managing uncertainty in financial markets. Although value-at-risk is a common risk control instrument, but there are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Ahmad Hajihasani , Ali Namaki , Nazanin Asadi , Reza Tehrani

Reliable calculations of financial risk require that the fat-tailed nature of prices changes is included in risk measures. To this end, a non-Gaussian approach to financial risk management is presented, modeling the power-law tails of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-12-01 G. Bormetti , E. Cisana , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB) launched in 1997 the model CreditRisk+ which aims at calculating the loss distribution of a credit portfolio on the basis of a methodology from actuarial mathematics. Knowing the loss distribution, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hermann Haaf , Dirk Tasche

Reliable calculations of financial risk require that the fat-tailed nature of prices changes is included in risk measures. To this end, a non-Gaussian approach to financial risk management is presented, modeling the power-law tails of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 G. Bormetti , E. Cisana , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

Risk measures for random vectors have been considered in multi-asset markets with transaction costs and financial networks in the literature. While the theory of set-valued risk measures provide an axiomatic framework for assigning to a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-25 Çağın Ararat , Zachary Feinstein

A Value-at-Risk based model is proposed to compute the adequate equity capital necessary to cover potential losses due to operational risks, such as human and system process failures, in banking organizations. Exploring the analogy to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Reimer Kuehn , Peter Neu

Recent financial disasters emphasised the need to investigate the consequence associated with the tail co-movements among institutions; episodes of contagion are frequently observed and increase the probability of large losses affecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Mauro Bernardi , Ghislaine Gayraud , Lea Petrella

Risk management often plays an important role in decision making under uncertainty. In quantitative risk management, assessing and optimizing risk metrics requires efficient computing techniques and reliable theoretical guarantees. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Zhaolin Hu
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