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Insurance and annuity products covering several lives require the modelling of the joint distribution of future lifetimes. In the interest of simplifying calculations, it is common in practice to assume that the future lifetimes among a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-19 François Dufresne , Enkelejd Hashorva , Gildas Ratovomirija , Youssouf Toukourou

Acyclic phase-type (PH) distributions have been a popular tool in survival analysis, thanks to their natural interpretation in terms of ageing towards its inevitable absorption. In this paper, we consider an extension to the bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Albrecher Hansjörg , Bladt Martin , Alaric J. A Müller

Family history is usually seen as a significant factor insurance companies look at when applying for a life insurance policy. Where it is used, family history of cardiovascular diseases, death by cancer, or family history of high blood…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-16 Olivier Cabrignac , Arthur Charpentier , Ewen Gallic

We consider dynamic versions of the mutual information of lifetime distributions, with focus on past lifetimes, residual lifetimes and mixed lifetimes evaluated at different instants. This allows to study multicomponent systems, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Jafar Ahmadi , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Maria Longobardi

It is well-known that combining life annuities and death benefits introduce opposite effects in payments with respect to the mortality risk on the lifetime of the insured. In a general multi-state framework with multiple product types, such…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-04 Jamaal Ahmad

In this paper, the recurrent events that can occur more than one over the follow-up time have been modeled by phase-type distributions. We use the finite-state continuous-time Markov process with multi states for patients with recurrent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Roufeh Asghari , Amin Hassan Zadeh

Joint multivariate longitudinal and time-to-event data are gaining increasing attention in the biomedical sciences where subjects are followed over time to monitor the progress of a disease or medical condition. In the insurance context,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Edward W. Frees , Catalina Bolancé , Montserrat Guillen , Emiliano Valdez

Increasing evidence suggests that variability in longitudinal biomarkers, in addition to their mean trajectory, carries prognostic information for time-to-event outcomes. However, standard joint models typically capture only the expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Felix Boakye Oppong , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Thierry Gorlia , Nicole Erler

In time-to-event analyses in social sciences, there often exist endogenous time-varying variables, where the event status is correlated with the trajectory of the covariate itself. Ignoring this endogeneity will result in biased estimates.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-28 Sophie Potts , Anja Rappl , Karin Kurz , Elisabeth Bergherr

We present, solve and numerically simulate a simple model that describes the consequences of increased longevity on fertility rates, population growth and the distribution of wealth in developed societies. We look at the consequences of the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-08 Aleksandar Bogojevic , Antun Balaz , Rasa Karapandza

A time-varying bivariate copula joint model, which models the repeatedly measured longitudinal outcome at each time point and the survival data jointly by both the random effects and time-varying bivariate copulas, is proposed in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

Each individual in society experiences an evolution of their income during their lifetime. Macroscopically, this dynamics creates a statistical relationship between age and income for each society. In this study, we investigate income…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-01 Fatih Ozhamaratli , Oleg Kitov , Paolo Barucca

Joint modelling of longitudinal and survival data is increasingly used in clinical trials on cancer. In prostate cancer for example, these models permit to account for the link between longitudinal measures of prostate-specific antigen…

We derive a general multiple state model for critical illness insurances. In contrast to the classical model, we take into account that the probability of death for a dread disease sufferer may depend on the duration of the disease, and the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-01 Joanna Dȩbicka , Beata Zmyślona

The gradual accumulation of damage and dysregulation during the aging of living organisms can be quantified. Even so, the aging process is complex and has multiple interacting physiological scales -- from the molecular to cellular to whole…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-06 Spencer Farrell , Garrett Stubbings , Kenneth Rockwood , Arnold Mitnitski , Andrew Rutenberg

This work considers stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of series and parallel systems with dependent and heterogeneous components having lifetimes following the proportional odds (PO) model. The joint distribution of component lifetimes is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Arindam Panja , Pradip Kundu , Biswabrata Pradhan

Although the concepts of age, survival and transit time have been widely used in many fields, including population dynamics, chemical engineering, and hydrology, a comprehensive mathematical framework is still missing. Here we discuss…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Salvatore Calabrese , Amilcare Porporato

In this paper, we investigate a complex variation of the standard joint life annuity policy by introducing three distinct contingent benefits for the surviving member(s) of a couple, along with a contingent benefit for their beneficiaries…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Kira Henshaw , Cedric H. A. Koffi , Olivier Menoukeu Pamen , Raghid Zeineddine

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Martin Bladt
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