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Gradient boosting is widely popular due to its flexibility and predictive accuracy. However, statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting remain challenging and under-explored. We propose a unified framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Daniel Chao Zhou , Zhongming Jin , Tong Zhang

In many applications of supervised learning, multiple classification or regression outputs have to be predicted jointly. We consider several extensions of gradient boosting to address such problems. We first propose a straightforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-21 Arnaud Joly , Louis Wehenkel , Pierre Geurts

The gradient boosting machine is a powerful ensemble-based machine learning method for solving regression problems. However, one of the difficulties of its using is a possible discontinuity of the regression function, which arises when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-07 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Laurent Rouvìère

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann

We define infinitesimal gradient boosting as a limit of the popular tree-based gradient boosting algorithm from machine learning. The limit is considered in the vanishing-learning-rate asymptotic, that is when the learning rate tends to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-26 Clément Dombry , Jean-Jil Duchamps

Gradient boosted trees are competition-winning, general-purpose, non-parametric regressors, which exploit sequential model fitting and gradient descent to minimize a specific loss function. The most popular implementations are tailored to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici

Additive models, such as produced by gradient boosting, and full interaction models, such as classification and regression trees (CART), are widely used algorithms that have been investigated largely in isolation. We show that these models…

Gradient boosting algorithms construct a regression predictor using a linear combination of ``base learners''. Boosting also offers an approach to obtaining robust non-parametric regression estimators that are scalable to applications with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera

We investigate boosted online regression and propose a novel family of regression algorithms with strong theoretical bounds. In addition, we implement several variants of the proposed generic algorithm. We specifically provide theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Dariush Kari , Farhan Khan , Selami Ciftci , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Gradient boosting performs exceptionally in most prediction problems and scales well to large datasets. In this paper we prove that a ``lassoed'' gradient boosted tree algorithm with early stopping achieves faster than $n^{-1/4}$ L2…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Alejandro Schuler , Yi Li , Mark van der Laan

Boosting is a popular ensemble algorithm that generates more powerful learners by linearly combining base models from a simpler hypothesis class. In this work, we investigate the problem of adapting batch gradient boosting for minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-02 Hanzhang Hu , Wen Sun , Arun Venkatraman , Martial Hebert , J. Andrew Bagnell

Boosting is a learning scheme that combines weak prediction rules to produce a strong composite estimator, with the underlying intuition that one can obtain accurate prediction rules by combining "rough" ones. Although boosting is proved to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-07 Shaobo Lin , Yao Wang , Lin Xu

This paper presents a computationally efficient variant of gradient boosting for multi-class classification and multi-output regression tasks. Standard gradient boosting uses a 1-vs-all strategy for classifications tasks with more than two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Seyedsaman Emami , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz

Gradient boosting of regression trees is a competitive procedure for learning predictive models of continuous data that fits the data with an additive non-parametric model. The classic version of gradient boosting assumes that the data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Iman Alodah , Jennifer Neville

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Boosting as gradient descent algorithms is one popular method in machine learning. In this paper a novel Boosting-type algorithm is proposed based on restricted gradient descent with structural sparsity control whose underlying dynamics are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-18 Chendi Huang , Xinwei Sun , Jiechao Xiong , Yuan Yao

Forward stagewise regression is a simple algorithm that can be used to estimate regularized models. The updating rule adds a small constant to a regression coefficient in each iteration, such that the underlying optimization problem is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Mattias Wetscher , Johannes Seiler , Reto Stauffer , Nikolaus Umlauf
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