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Using stochastic gradient search and the optimal filter derivative, it is possible to perform recursive (i.e., online) maximum likelihood estimation in a non-linear state-space model. As the optimal filter and its derivative are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

In many applications, a state-space model depends on a parameter which needs to be inferred from a data set. Quite often, it is necessary to perform the parameter inference online. In the maximum likelihood approach, this can be done using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

The problem of stability of the optimal filter is revisited. The optimal filter (or filtering process) is the conditional probability of the current state of some stochastic process (the signal process), given both present and past values…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Lea Oljača , Tobias Kuna , Jochen Bröcker

We consider a hidden Markov model with multiplicative noise emerging from studies of software reliability. We show the stability of the optimal filter with respect to general initial conditions in the total variation- and $L^p$-norm and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-21 Birgit Debrabant , Wilhelm Stannat

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. In many applications it may be necessary to compute the sensitivity,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

Weighted finite-state machines are a fundamental building block of NLP systems. They have withstood the test of time -- from their early use in noisy channel models in the 1990s up to modern-day neurally parameterized conditional random…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Ran Zmigrod , Tim Vieira , Ryan Cotterell

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

A stable filter has the property that it asymptotically `forgets' initial perturbations. As a result of this property, it is possible to construct approximations of such filters whose errors remain small in time, in other words…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-18 Dan Crisan , Alberto Lopez-Yela , Joaquin Miguez

This papers shows that nonlinear filter in the case of deterministic dynamics is stable with respect to the initial conditions under the conditions that observations are sufficiently rich, both in the context of continuous and discrete time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Anugu Sumith Reddy , Amit Apte

Flow matching has emerged as a powerful framework for generative modeling, offering computational advantages over diffusion models by leveraging deterministic Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) instead of stochastic dynamics. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Chengyue Gong , Xiaoyu Li , Yingyu Liang , Jiangxuan Long , Zhenmei Shi , Zhao Song , Yu Tian

We establish conditions for an exponential rate of forgetting of the initial distribution of nonlinear filters in $V$-norm, path-wise along almost all observation sequences. In contrast to previous works, our results allow for unbounded…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Mathieu Gerber , Nick Whiteley

When is a nonlinear filter stable with respect to its initial condition? In spite of the recent progress, this question still lacks a complete answer in general. Currently available results indicate that stability of the filter depends on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Chigansky , R. Liptser

Can stochastic gradient methods track a moving target? We study the problem of tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and possible model misspecification. Gradient-based filters update the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Simon Donker van Heel , Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

The utilization of online stochastic algorithms is popular in large-scale learning settings due to their ability to compute updates on the fly, without the need to store and process data in large batches. When a constant step-size is used,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Stefan Vlaski , Elsa Rizk , Ali H. Sayed

Differentiation filters can be made proper by composition with a first-order low-pass filter at a desired bandwidth, resulting in a "dirty derivative." A stable closed-loop system that relies on output derivatives remains stable when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Simon Kuang

We are interested in the optimal filter in a continuous time setting. We want to show that the optimal filter is stable with respect to its initial condition. We reduce the problem to a discrete time setting and apply truncation techniques…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-29 van Bien Bui , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We are interested in the question of stability in the field of shape optimization, with focus on the strategy using second order shape derivative. More precisely, we identify structural hypotheses on the hessian of the considered shape…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Marc Dambrine , Jimmy Lamboley , M Dambrine-J

We develop an online gradient algorithm for optimizing the performance of product-form networks through online adjustment of control parameters. The use of standard algorithms for finding optimal parameter settings is hampered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Jaron Sanders , Sem C. Borst , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag
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