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Accurate precipitation forecasting is indispensable for informed decision-making across various industries. However, the computational demands of current models raise environmental concerns. We address the critical need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

Global AI weather forecasting still relies mainly on uniform-resolution models, making it hard to combine regional refinement, two-way regional-global coupling, and affordable training cost. We introduce StretchCast, a global-regional AI…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Jin Feng

One of the greatest challenge facing current space weather monitoring operations is forecasting the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) within their Earth-Sun propagation timescales. Current…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-30 D. M. Weigt , L. A. Cañizares , S. A. Maloney , S. A. Murray , E. P. Carley , P. T. Gallagher , A. Macario-Rojas , N. Crisp , C. McGrath

Machine learning models for forecasting solar flares have been trained and evaluated using a variety of data sources, including Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) operational and science-quality data. Typically, data from these sources…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-02 Ke Hu , Kevin Jin , Victor Verma , Weihao Liu , Ward Manchester , Lulu Zhao , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen

Line of sight satellite systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, high-altitude platforms, and microwave links that operate on frequency bands such as Ka-band or higher are extremely susceptible to rain. Thus, rain fade forecasting for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Aidin Ferdowsi , David Whitefield

Active Galaxies with a jet pointing towards us, so-called blazars, play an important role in the field of high-energy astrophysics. One of the most important features in the classification scheme of blazars is the peak frequency of the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-07-11 Theo Glauch , Tobias Kerscher , Paolo Giommi

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

We describe the SPHEREx Sky Simulator, a software tool designed to model science data for NASA's SPHEREx mission that will carry out a series of all-sky spectrophotometric surveys at $\sim$6'' spatial resolution in 102 spectral channels…

Forecasting is an important task in many domains, such as technology and economics. However existing forecasting benchmarks largely lack comprehensive confidence assessment, focus on limited question types, and often consist of artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Zhangdie Yuan , Zifeng Ding , Andreas Vlachos

Big earth science data offers the scientific community great opportunities. Many more studies at large-scales, over long-terms and at high resolution can now be conducted using the rich information collected by remote sensing satellites,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Wenwen Li , Hu Shao , Sizhe Wang , Xiran Zhou , Sheng Wu

In this contribution we report the on-going progresses of the project FATE, an operational automatic forecast system conceived to deliver forecasts of a set of astroclimatic and atmospheric parameters having the aim to support the science…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-10 Elena Masciadri , Alessio Turchi , Luca Fini , Alberto Ortolani , Valerio Capecchi , Francesco Pasi , Angel Otarola , Steffen Mieske

Accurate and timely rain prediction is crucial for decision making and is also a challenging task. This paper presents a solution which won the 2 nd prize in the Weather4cast 2022 NeurIPS competition using 3D U-Nets and EarthFormers for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Yang Li , Haiyu Dong , Zuliang Fang , Jonathan Weyn , Pete Luferenko

We present ORCAst, a multi-stage, multi-arm network for Operational high-Resolution Current forecAsts over one week. Producing real-time nowcasts and forecasts of ocean surface currents is a challenging problem due to indirect or incomplete…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Pierre Garcia , Inès Larroche , Amélie Pesnec , Hannah Bull , Théo Archambault , Evangelos Moschos , Alexandre Stegner , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

Satellite images are snapshots of the Earth surface. We propose to forecast them. We frame Earth surface forecasting as the task of predicting satellite imagery conditioned on future weather. EarthNet2021 is a large dataset suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-21 Christian Requena-Mesa , Vitus Benson , Markus Reichstein , Jakob Runge , Joachim Denzler

Stellar flare forecasting represents a critical frontier in astrophysics, offering profound insights into stellar activity mechanisms and exoplanetary habitability assessments. Yet the inherent unpredictability of flare activity, rooted in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Tianyu Su , Zhiqiang Zou , Qingyu Lu , Feng Zhang , Ali Luo , Xiao Kong , Min Li

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

Accurate, reliable solar flare prediction is crucial for mitigating potential disruptions to critical infrastructure, while predicting solar flares remains a significant challenge. Existing methods based on heuristic physical features often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Machine Learning and Deep Learning are computational tools that fall within the domain of artificial intelligence. In recent years, numerous research works have advanced the application of machine and deep learning in various fields,…

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are essential for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in sectors such as shipping, aquaculture, environmental monitoring, and coastal risk management. Traditional numerical solvers,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Italo Epicoco , Teemu Roos

The aim of this white paper is to briefly summarize some of the outstanding gaps in the observations and modeling of stellar flares, CMEs, and exoplanetary space weather, and to discuss how the theoretical and computational tools and…