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The downside risk of a portfolio of (equity)assets is generally substantially higher than the downside risk of its components. In particular in times of crises when assets tend to have high correlation, the understanding of this difference…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Alex Langnau , Daniel Cangemi

This work proposes and evaluates a novel approach to determine interesting categorical attributes for lists of entities. Once identified, such categories are of immense value to allow constraining (filtering) a current view of a user to…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-11-30 Koninika Pal , Sebastian Michel

This paper investigates cash productivity as a signal for future stock performance, building on the cash-return framework of Faulkender and Wang (2006). Using financial and market data from WRDS, we calculate cash returns as a proxy for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-19 Veer Vohra , Devyani Vij , Jehil Mehta , Arman Ozcan

We show that financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. We introduce a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Giacomo Raffaelli , Matteo Marsili

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

In the market place, diversification reduces risk and provides protection against extreme events by ensuring that one is not overly exposed to individual occurrences. We argue that diversification is best measured by characteristics of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-24 Ulrich Kirchner , Caroline Zunckel

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

We study a discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model under expectations-based reference-dependent preferences. More precisely, we consider an endowment economy populated by a representative agent who derives utility from…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-24 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Xuedong He , Moris Simon Strub , Yuting Yang

As the amount of information online continues to grow, a correspondingly important opportunity is for individuals to reuse knowledge which has been summarized by others rather than starting from scratch. However, appropriate reuse requires…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Michael Xieyang Liu , Aniket Kittur , Brad A. Myers

We establish the first axiomatic theory for diversification indices using six intuitive axioms: non-negativity, location invariance, scale invariance, rationality, normalization, and continuity. The unique class of indices satisfying these…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Xia Han , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

Frequently one has to search within a finite population for a single particular individual or item with a rare characteristic. Whether an item possesses the characteristic can only be determined by close inspection. The availability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 André J. Hoogstrate , Chris A. J. Klaassen

For many financial applications, it is important to have reliable and tractable models for the behavior of assets and indexes, for example in risk evaluation. A successful approach is based on ARCH processes, which strike the right balance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Gilles Zumbach

Given a classification model and a prediction for some input, there are heuristic strategies for ranking features according to their importance in regard to the prediction. One common approach to this task is rooted in propositional logic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Tomás Capdevielle , Santiago Cifuentes

Volatility is the canonical measure of financial risk, a role largely inherited from Modern Portfolio Theory. Yet, its universality rests on restrictive efficiency assumptions that render volatility, at best, an incomplete proxy for true…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

Classically, risk is characterized by a point value probability indicating the likelihood of occurrence of an adverse effect. However, there are domains where the attainability of objective numerical risk characterizations is increasingly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Paul J. Krause , John Fox , Philip Judson

This memoir presents a systematic study of the utility maximization problem of an investor in a constrained and unbounded financial market. Building upon the work of Hu et al. (2005) [Ann. Appl. Probab., 15, 1691--1712] in a bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Ying Hu , Gechun Liang , Shanjian Tang

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

Multivariate probability density functions of returns are constructed in order to model the empirical behavior of returns in a financial time series. They describe the well-established deviations from the Gaussian random walk, such as an…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-08-23 E. Alessio , V. Frappietro , M. I. Krivoruchenko , L. J. Streckert

The total duration of drawdowns is shown to provide a moment-free, unbiased, efficient and robust estimator of Sharpe ratios both for Gaussian and heavy-tailed price returns. We then use this quantity to infer an analytic expression of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-09 Damien Challet
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