Related papers: Sharp large deviations for the drift parameter of …
We consider the parametric estimation of the volatility and jump activity in a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) model driven by a standard Brownian Motion and a non-symmetric stable L\'evy process with jump activity $\alpha…
We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…
The paper deals with the regression model $X_t = \theta t + B_t$, $t\in[0, T ]$, where $B=\{B_t, t\geq 0\}$ is a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments. We study the estimation of the unknown parameter $\theta$ and establish…
We consider inference of the parameters of the diffusion term for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and similar processes with a power type dependence of the diffusion coefficient from the underlying process. We suggest some original pathwise estimates…
Large deviations principle is obtained for terminating multidimensional compound renewal processes. We also obtained the asymptotic of large deviations for the case when a Gibbs change of the original probability measure takes place. The…
We prove a large-deviation principle (LDP) for the sample paths of jump Markov processes in the small noise limit when, possibly, all the jump rates vanish uniformly, but slowly enough, in a region of the state space. We further discuss the…
We establish a large deviation principle for the trajectories of Wiener processes subject to random resets to the origin occurring according to a Poisson process. In addition to the pathwise large deviation principle, we identify the rate…
We investigate the large deviation behaviour of a point process sequence based on a stationary symmetric stable non-Gaussian discrete-parameter random field using the framework of Hult and Samorodnitsky (2010). Depending on the ergodic…
In order to sample from a given target distribution (often of Gibbs type), the Monte Carlo Markov chain method consists in constructing an ergodic Markov process whose invariant measure is the target distribution. By sampling the Markov…
The paper considers a continuous-time birth-death process where the jump rate has an asymptotically polynomial dependence on the process position. We obtain a rough exponential asymptotics for the probability of excursions of a re-scaled…
Much work in the study of large deviations for random graph models is focused on the dense regime where the theory of graphons has emerged as a principal tool. These tools do not give a good approach to large deviation problems for random…
We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…
In this paper, we introduce a mathematical apparatus that is relevant for understanding a dynamical system with small random perturbations and coupled with the so-called transmutation process -- where the latter jumps from one mode to…
We investigate periodic points of the Dyck shift from the viewpoint of large deviations. We establish the level-2 Large Deviation Principle with the rate function given in terms of Kolmogorov-Sinai entropies of shift-invariant Borel…
A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…
The large deviations analysis of solutions to stochastic differential equations and related processes is often based on approximation. The construction and justification of the approximations can be onerous, especially in the case where the…
We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…
We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form \[dX_t=\theta a(t,X_t)\,dt+\sigma_1(t,X_t)\sigma_2(t,Y_t)\,dW_t\] with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where $Y$ is some adapted stochastic process. We prove…
Particle approximations for certain nonlinear and nonlocal reaction-diffusion equations are studied using a system of Brownian motions with killing. The system is described by a collection of i.i.d. Brownian particles where each particle is…
In this work, we study large deviation properties of the covariance process in fully connected Gaussian deep neural networks. More precisely, we establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for the covariance process in a functional…