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Related papers: Random Feature Stein Discrepancies

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We introduce the Kernel Calibration Conditional Stein Discrepancy test (KCCSD test), a non-parametric, kernel-based test for assessing the calibration of probabilistic models with well-defined scores. In contrast to previous methods, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-17 Pierre Glaser , David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Arthur Gretton

Kernelized Stein discrepancy (KSD) is a score-based discrepancy widely used in goodness-of-fit tests. It can be applied even when the target distribution has an unknown normalising factor, such as in Bayesian analysis. We show theoretically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Xing Liu , Andrew B. Duncan , Axel Gandy

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric test of relative goodness of fit, where the goal is to compare two models, both of which may have unobserved latent variables, such that the marginal distribution of the observed variables is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-10 Heishiro Kanagawa , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Lester Mackey , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

We propose a novel adaptive test of goodness-of-fit, with computational cost linear in the number of samples. We learn the test features that best indicate the differences between observed samples and a reference model, by minimizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-25 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Wenkai Xu , Zoltan Szabo , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton

Kernel Stein discrepancies (KSDs) have emerged as a powerful tool for quantifying goodness-of-fit over the last decade, featuring numerous successful applications. To the best of our knowledge, all existing KSD estimators with known rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Jose Cribeiro-Ramallo , Agnideep Aich , Florian Kalinke , Ashit Baran Aich , Zoltán Szabó

This paper formally derives the asymptotic distribution of a goodness-of-fit test based on the Kernel Stein Discrepancy introduced in (Oscar Key et al., "Composite Goodness-of-fit Tests with Kernels", Journal of Machine Learning Research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Florian Brück , Veronika Reimoser , Fabian Baier

In many applications, we encounter data on Riemannian manifolds such as torus and rotation groups. Standard statistical procedures for multivariate data are not applicable to such data. In this study, we develop goodness-of-fit testing and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Wenkai Xu , Takeru Matsuda

Goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests are fundamental for assessing model adequacy. Score-based tests are appealing because they require fitting the model only once under the null. However, extending them to powerful nonparametric alternatives is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Zhihan Huang , Ziang Niu

Maximum mean discrepancies (MMDs) like the kernel Stein discrepancy (KSD) have grown central to a wide range of applications, including hypothesis testing, sampler selection, distribution approximation, and variational inference. In each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-26 Alessandro Barp , Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Mark Girolami , Lester Mackey

Kernel Stein discrepancies (KSDs) are widely used for goodness-of-fit testing, but standard KSDs can be insensitive to higher-order dependence features such as tail dependence. We introduce the Copula-Stein Discrepancy (CSD), which defines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Agnideep Aich , Ashit Baran Aich

Goodness-of-fit tests based on the Euclidean distance often outperform chi-square and other classical tests (including the standard exact tests) by at least an order of magnitude when the model being tested for goodness-of-fit is a discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Survival Analysis and Reliability Theory are concerned with the analysis of time-to-event data, in which observations correspond to waiting times until an event of interest such as death from a particular disease or failure of a component…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-28 Tamara Fernandez , Nicolas Rivera , Wenkai Xu , Arthur Gretton

In Bayesian inference, the posterior distributions are difficult to obtain analytically for complex models such as neural networks. Variational inference usually uses a parametric distribution for approximation, from which we can easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-01 Futoshi Futami , Zhenghang Cui , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

In this work we propose a framework for constructing goodness of fit tests in both low and high-dimensional linear models. We advocate applying regression methods to the scaled residuals following either an ordinary least squares or Lasso…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Rajen D. Shah , Peter Bühlmann

Approximate inference in probability models is a fundamental task in machine learning. Approximate inference provides powerful tools to Bayesian reasoning, decision making, and Bayesian deep learning. The main goal is to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jun Han

Estimating truncated density models is difficult, as these models have intractable normalising constants and hard to satisfy boundary conditions. Score matching can be adapted to solve the truncated density estimation problem, but requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Daniel J. Williams , Song Liu

Gradient-based approximate inference methods, such as Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), provide simple and general-purpose inference engines for differentiable continuous distributions. However, existing forms of SVGD cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jun Han , Fan Ding , Xianglong Liu , Lorenzo Torresani , Jian Peng , Qiang Liu

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

With the aim of generalizing histogram statistics to higher dimensional cases, density estimation via discrepancy based sequential partition (DSP) has been proposed to learn an adaptive piecewise constant approximation defined on a binary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-23 Zhengyang Lei , Lirong Qu , Sihong Shao , Yunfeng Xiong