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Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Surrogate modeling has become a valuable technique for black-box optimization tasks with expensive evaluation of the objective function. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the predictive accuracy of surrogate models and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Zbyněk Pitra , Jan Koza , Jiří Tumpach , Martin Holeňa

Interpretable surrogates of black-box predictors trained on high-dimensional tabular datasets can struggle to generate comprehensible explanations in the presence of correlated variables. We propose a model-agnostic interpretable surrogate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xavier Renard , Nicolas Woloszko , Jonathan Aigrain , Marcin Detyniecki

This work introduces the definition of observation-specific explanations to assign a score to each data point proportional to its importance in the definition of the prediction process. Such explanations involve the identification of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-16 Valentina Ghidini , Michael Multerer , Jacopo Quizi , Rohan Sen

We propose a model-agnostic approach for mitigating the prediction bias of a black-box decision-maker, and in particular, a human decision-maker. Our method detects in the feature space where the black-box decision-maker is biased and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Tong Wang , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

We address the problem of training models with black-box and hard-to-optimize metrics by expressing the metric as a monotonic function of a small number of easy-to-optimize surrogates. We pose the training problem as an optimization over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-21 Qijia Jiang , Olaoluwa Adigun , Harikrishna Narasimhan , Mahdi Milani Fard , Maya Gupta

Explainable AI seeks to bring light to the decision-making processes of black-box models. Traditional saliency-based methods, while highlighting influential data segments, often lack semantic understanding. Recent advancements, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Bo Pan , Zhenke Liu , Yifei Zhang , Liang Zhao

With the ever-increasing use of complex machine learning models in critical applications within the finance domain, explaining the decisions of the model has become a necessity. With applications spanning from credit scoring to credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Aditya Lahiri , Narayanan Unny Edakunni

Constructing accurate model-agnostic explanations for opaque machine learning models remains a challenging task. Classification models for high-dimensional data, like images, are often inherently complex. To reduce this complexity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Georgios Vlassopoulos , Tim van Erven , Henry Brighton , Vlado Menkovski

With the increasing complexity of black-box machine learning models and their adoption in high-stakes areas, it is critical to provide explanations for their predictions. Existing local explanation methods lack in generating high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Sanjeev Shrestha , Rahul Dubey , Hui Liu

In physics and engineering, many processes are modeled using non-differentiable black-box simulators, making the optimization of such functions particularly challenging. To address such cases, inspired by the Gradient Theorem, we propose…

In this paper we introduce a novel way of estimating prediction uncertainty in deep networks through the use of uncertainty surrogates. These surrogates are features of the penultimate layer of a deep network that are forced to match…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Radhakrishna Achanta , Natasa Tagasovska

We introduce a local surrogate approach for explainable time-series forecasting. An initially non-interpretable predictive model to improve the forecast of a classical time-series 'base model' is used. 'Explainability' of the correction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Alfredo Lopez , Florian Sobieczky

Given a prediction task, understanding when one can and cannot design a consistent convex surrogate loss, particularly a low-dimensional one, is an important and active area of machine learning research. The prediction task may be given as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Jessie Finocchiaro , Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

Trust and ethical concerns due to the widespread deployment of opaque machine learning (ML) models motivating the need for reliable model explanations. Post-hoc model-agnostic explanation methods addresses this challenge by learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Sumedha Chugh , Ranjitha Prasad , Nazreen Shah

State-of-the-art recommender systems have the ability to generate high-quality recommendations, but usually cannot provide intuitive explanations to humans due to the usage of black-box prediction models. The lack of transparency has…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Shuyuan Xu , Yunqi Li , Shuchang Liu , Zuohui Fu , Xu Chen , Yongfeng Zhang

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Stochastic inverse problems are generally solved by some form of finite sampling of a space of uncertain parameters. For computationally expensive models, surrogate response surfaces are often employed to increase the number of samples used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Steven Mattis , Barbara Wohlmuth

Offline design optimization problem arises in numerous science and engineering applications including material and chemical design, where expensive online experimentation necessitates the use of in silico surrogate functions to predict and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Minh Hoang , Azza Fadhel , Aryan Deshwal , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Trong Nghia Hoang

The contemporary process-aware information systems possess the capabilities to record the activities generated during the process execution. To leverage these process specific fine-granular data, process mining has recently emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Nijat Mehdiyev , Peter Fettke