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The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

The configuration model is a sequence of random graphs constructed such that in the large network limit the degree distribution converges to a pre-specified probability distribution. The component structure of such random graphs can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Ruoyu Wu

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

In this paper some general theory is presented for locally stationary processes based on the stationary approximation and the stationary derivative. Laws of large numbers, central limit theorems as well as deterministic and stochastic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Rainer Dahlhaus , Stefan Richter , Wei Biao Wu

The paper deals with a family of jump Markov process defined in a medium with a periodic or locally periodic microstructure. We assume that the generator of the process is a zero order convolution type operator with rapidly oscillating…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Andrey Piatnitski , Sergei Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

We study the upper tail behaviors of the local times of the additive stable processes. Let $X_1(t),...,X_p(t)$ be independent, d-dimensional symmetric stable processes with stable index $0<\alpha\le 2$ and consider the additive stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Xia Chen

We study a Markov decision problem in which the state space is the set of finite marked point configurations in the plane, the actions represent thinnings, the reward is proportional to the mark sum which is discounted over time, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-08 M. N. M. van Lieshout

For integers $n\geq r$, we treat the $r$th largest of a sample of size $n$ as an $\mathbb{R}^\infty$-valued stochastic process in $r$ which we denote $\mathbf{M}^{(r)}$. We show that the sequence regarded in this way satisfies the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Boris Buchmann , Ross Maller , Sidney Resnick

We prove a large-deviation principle (LDP) for the sample paths of jump Markov processes in the small noise limit when, possibly, all the jump rates vanish uniformly, but slowly enough, in a region of the state space. We further discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Andrea Agazzi , Luisa Andreis , Robert I. A. Patterson , D. R. Michiel Renger

Density dependent Markov population processes in large populations of size $N$ were shown by Kurtz (1970, 1971) to be well approximated over finite time intervals by the solution of the differential equations that describe their average…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-15 A. D. Barbour , Kais Hamza , Haya Kaspi , Fima Klebaner

It is well known that, under broad assumptions, the time-scaled point process of exceedances of a high level by a stationary sequence converges to a compound Poisson process as the level grows. The purpose of this note is to demonstrate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Konstantin Borovkov , Serguei Novak

We establish, under the Cramer exponential moment condition in a neighbourhood of zero, the Extended Large Deviation Principle for the Random Walk and the Compound Poisson processes in the metric space $\V$ of functions of finite variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-01 F. C. Klebaner , A. A. Mogulskii

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since there is usually no obvious natural upper limit on the number of individuals in a patch,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-27 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

We study the behavior of an infinite system of ordinary differential equations modeling the dynamics of a metapopulation, a set of (discrete) populations subject to local catastrophes and connected via migration under a mean field rule; the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. D. Barbour , A. Pugliese

In this paper we prove scalar and sample path large deviation principles for a large class of Poisson cluster processes. As a consequence, we provide a large deviation principle for ergodic Hawkes point processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Charles Bordenave , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

Limit theorems, including the large deviation principle, are established for random point processes (fields), which describe the position distributions of the perfect boson gas in the regime of the Bose-Einstein condensation. We compare…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 Hiroshi Tamura , Valentin Zagrebnov

In this paper, we are concerned with centered Markov Additive Processes $\{(X_t,Y_t)\}_{t\in\T}$ where the driving Markov process $\{X_t\}_{t\in\T}$ has a finite state space. Under suitable conditions, we provide a local limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux