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Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

Data assimilation method consists in combining all available pieces of information about a system to obtain optimal estimates of initial states. The different sources of information are weighted according to their accuracy by the means of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-04-30 Angélique Ponçot , Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Bouriquet , Patrick Erhard , Serge Gratton , Olivier Thual

We commonly refer to state-estimation theory in geosciences as data assimilation. This term encompasses the entire sequence of operations that, starting from the observations of a system, and from additional statistical and dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-06-11 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino , Geir Evensen

Data assimilation (DA) aims at optimally merging observational data and model outputs to create a coherent statistical and dynamical picture of the system under investigation. Indeed, DA aims at minimizing the effect of observational and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-05 Yumeng Chen , Alberto Carrassi , Valerio Lucarini

This study evaluates a data assimilation framework based on reduced-order modeling (ROM-DA), complemented by a hybrid data-filling strategy, to reconstruct dynamic temperature fields in a phase-change-material (PCM) integrated solar chimney…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Diego R. Rivera , Ernesto Castillo , Felipe Galarce , Douglas R. Q. Pacheco

There has been a recent surge in development of accurate machine learning (ML) weather prediction models, but evaluation of these models has mainly been focused on medium-range forecasts, not their performance in cycling data assimilation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-25 Laura C. Slivinski , Jeffrey S. Whitaker , Sergey Frolov , Timothy A. Smith , Niraj Agarwal

An empirical model for forecasting solar wind speed related geomagnetic events is presented here. The model is based on the estimated location and size of solar coronal holes. This method differs from models that are based on photospheric…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 S. Robbins , C. J. Henney , J. W. Harvey

Data Assimilation (DA) is a methodology for combining mathematical models simulating complex systems (the background knowledge) and measurements (the reality or observational data) in order to improve the estimate of the system state. This…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Luisa D'Amore , Rosalba Cacciapuoti

Data Assimilation is a cornerstone of atmospheric system modeling, tasked with reconstructing system states by integrating sparse, noisy observations with prior estimation. While traditional approaches like variational and ensemble Kalman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Hao Wang , Zixuan Weng , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Hao Liu

Solar wind streams, acting as background, govern the propagation of space weather drivers in the heliosphere, which induce geomagnetic storm activities. Therefore, predictions of the solar wind parameters are the core of space weather…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-14 Prateek Mayank , Bhargav Vaidya , D. Chakrabarty

Inspired by the concept of relativity of simultaneity used in the theory of special relativity, a new approach is proposed to simulate future solar wind conditions at any point in the inner solar system. An important distinctive feature of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Igor V. Sokolov , Tamas I. Gombosi

Swirling motions in the solar atmosphere have been widely observed in recent years and suggested to play a key role in channeling energy from the photosphere into the corona. Here, we present a newly-developed Automated Swirl Detection…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-13 Jiajia Liu , Chris J. Nelson , Robert Erdélyi

The success of supervised classification of remotely sensed images acquired over large geographical areas or at short time intervals strongly depends on the representativity of the samples used to train the classification algorithm and to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Devis Tuia , Claudio Persello , Lorenzo Bruzzone

Variational data assimilation is a technique for combining measured data with dynamical models. It is a key component of Earth system state estimation and is commonly used in weather and ocean forecasting. The approach involves a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 I. Daužickaitė , M. A. Freitag , S. Gürol , A. S. Lawless , A. Ramage , J. A. Scott , J. M. Tabeart

Understanding the mechanism(s) of the solar wind acceleration is important in astrophysics and geophysics. A promising model of the solar wind acceleration is known as the wave/turbulence-driven (WTD) model, in which Alfv\'en waves feed…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-13 Munehito Shoda , Kazumasa Iwai , Daikou Shiota

Solar Orbiter provides unique capabilities to understand the heliosphere. In particular, it has made observations of the far-side of the Sun and provides unique information to improve space weather monitoring. We aim to quantify how…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-11 Barbara Perri , Adam Finley , Victor Réville , Susanna Parenti , Allan Sacha Brun , Antoine Strugarek , Éric Buchlin

Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved thanks to advances in data assimilation. Such an approach combines in-situ gauge measurements with numerical hydrodynamic models to correct the hydraulic states and reduce…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-07 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Christophe Fatras , Andrea Piacentini , Anthéa Delmotte , Emeric Lavergne , Peter Kettig

A novel method for real-time solar generation forecast using weather data, while exploiting both spatial and temporal structural dependencies is proposed. The network observed over time is projected to a lower-dimensional representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Mohammad Alqudah , Tatjana Dokic , Mladen Kezunovic , Zoran Obradovic

Relevant comprehension of flood hazards has emerged as a crucial necessity, especially as the severity and the occurrence of flood events intensify with climate changes. Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Anthéa Delmotte , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Andrea Piacentini , Sophie Ricci

We introduce a mathematical formulation of feature-informed data assimilation (FIDA). In FIDA, the information about feature events, such as shock waves, level curves, wavefronts and peak value, in dynamical systems are used for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-02 Wei Kang , Daniel M. Tartakovsky , Apoorv Srivastava
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