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Motion prediction, recently popularized as world models, refers to the anticipation of future agent states or scene evolution, which is rooted in human cognition, bridging perception and decision-making. It enables intelligent systems, such…

Machines, not humans, are the world's dominant knowledge accumulators but humans remain the dominant decision makers. Interpreting and disseminating the knowledge accumulated by machines requires expertise, time, and is prone to failure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-09 Baxter S. Eaves , Patrick Shafto

Conditional forecasts, i.e. projections of a set of variables of interest on the future paths of some other variables, are used routinely by empirical macroeconomists in a number of applied settings. In spite of this, the existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Joshua C. C. Chan , Davide Pettenuzzo , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Despite decades of research, understanding human manipulation activities is, and has always been, one of the most attractive and challenging research topics in computer vision and robotics. Recognition and prediction of observed human…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Gamze Akyol , Sanem Sariel , Eren Erdal Aksoy

Context plays a significant role in the generation of motion for dynamic agents in interactive environments. This work proposes a modular method that utilises a learned model of the environment for motion prediction. This modularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Todor Davchev , Michael Burke , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

The note studies the problem of selecting a good enough subset out of a finite number of alternatives under a fixed simulation budget. Our work aims to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting a good subset. We formulate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Bin Chen , Qing-shan Jia , Yijie Peng

Autonomous agents, such as robots or intelligent devices, need to understand how to interact with objects and its environment. Affordances are defined as the relationships between an agent, the objects, and the possible future actions in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Lorenzo Mur-Labadia , Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Current technologies are unable to produce massively deployable, fully autonomous vehicles that do not require human intervention. Such technological limitations are projected to persist for decades. Therefore, roadway scenarios requiring a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-02 David Ríos Insua , William N. Caballero , Roi Naveiro

Autonomous driving promises transformative improvements to transportation, but building systems capable of safely navigating the unstructured complexity of real-world scenarios remains challenging. A critical problem lies in effectively…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Anthony Hu , Lloyd Russell , Hudson Yeo , Zak Murez , George Fedoseev , Alex Kendall , Jamie Shotton , Gianluca Corrado

Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

In this work, we address the challenging video scene parsing problem by developing effective representation learning methods given limited parsing annotations. In particular, we contribute two novel methods that constitute a unified parsing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-14 Xiaojie Jin , Xin Li , Huaxin Xiao , Xiaohui Shen , Zhe Lin , Jimei Yang , Yunpeng Chen , Jian Dong , Luoqi Liu , Zequn Jie , Jiashi Feng , Shuicheng Yan

An accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving in complex traffic environments. In recent years, artificial intelligence has shown strong capabilities in improving prediction accuracy. However, its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Jun Li , Chen Lv , Weida Wang , Hong Wang

We consider stochastic model predictive control of a multi-agent systems with constraints on the probabilities of inter-agent collisions. We first study a sample-based approximation of the collision probabilities and use this approximation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-17 Daniel Lyons , Jan-P. Calliess , Uwe D. Hanebeck

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Advances in architectural design, data availability, and compute have driven remarkable progress in semantic segmentation. Yet, these models often rely on relaxed Bayesian assumptions, omitting critical uncertainty information needed for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-19 M. M. A. Valiuddin , R. J. G. van Sloun , C. G. A. Viviers , P. H. N. de With , F. van der Sommen

Predicting future locations of agents in the scene is an important problem in self-driving. In recent years, there has been a significant progress in representing the scene and the agents in it. The interactions of agents with the scene and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Görkay Aydemir , Adil Kaan Akan , Fatma Güney

We address multi-modal trajectory forecasting of agents in unknown scenes by formulating it as a planning problem. We present an approach consisting of three models; a goal prediction model to identify potential goals of the agent, an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-30 Nachiket Deo , Mohan M. Trivedi

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

We study the problem of synthesizing a number of likely future frames from a single input image. In contrast to traditional methods that have tackled this problem in a deterministic or non-parametric way, we propose to model future frames…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Tianfan Xue , Jiajun Wu , Katherine L. Bouman , William T. Freeman