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A typical problem in causal modeling is the instability of model structure learning, i.e., small changes in finite data can result in completely different optimal models. The present work introduces a novel causal modeling algorithm for…

This paper introduces a general Bayesian non- parametric latent feature model suitable to per- form automatic exploratory analysis of heterogeneous datasets, where the attributes describing each object can be either discrete, continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-27 Isabel Valera , Melanie F. Pradier , Zoubin Ghahramani

Quantile regression (QR) is a powerful tool for estimating one or more conditional quantiles of a target variable $\mathrm{Y}$ given explanatory features $\boldsymbol{\mathrm{X}}$. A limitation of QR is that it is only defined for scalar…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-05 Aviv A. Rosenberg , Sanketh Vedula , Yaniv Romano , Alex M. Bronstein

We develop quantile regression methods for discrete responses by extending Parzen's definition of marginal mid-quantiles. As opposed to existing approaches, which are based on either jittering or latent constructs, we use interpolation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-25 Marco Geraci , Alessio Farcomeni

In real-world healthcare settings, treatment decisions often involve optimizing for multivariate outcomes such as treatment efficacy and severity of side effects based on individual preferences. However, existing statistical methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Joshua P. Zitovsky , Yating Zou , Leslie Wilson , Michael R. Kosorok

In this paper, we propose the beginnings of a formal framework for modeling narrative \textit{qua} narrative. Our framework affords the ability to discuss key qualities of stories and their communication, including the flow of information…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Louis Castricato , Stella Biderman , Rogelio E. Cardona-Rivera , David Thue

We consider a finite mixture model with varying mixing probabilities. Linear regression models are assumed for observed variables with coefficients depending on the mixture component the observed subject belongs to. A modification of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Daryna Liubashenko , Rostyslav Maiboroda

The prediction of humans' short-term trajectories has advanced significantly with the use of powerful sequential modeling and rich environment feature extraction. However, long-term prediction is still a major challenge for the current…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Hung Tran , Vuong Le , Truyen Tran

Quantile regression is an increasingly important empirical tool in economics and other sciences for analyzing the impact of a set of regressors on the conditional distribution of an outcome. Extremal quantile regression, or quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Ivan Fernandez-Val

Quantile crossing is a common phenomenon in shape constrained nonparametric quantile regression. A recent study by Wang et al. (2014) has proposed to address this problem by imposing non-crossing constraints to convex quantile regression.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-09 Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen , Xun Zhou

Joint models initially dedicated to a single longitudinal marker and a single time-to-event need to be extended to account for the rich longitudinal data of cohort studies. Multiple causes of clinical progression are indeed usually…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-26 Cécile Proust-Lima , Jean-François Dartigues , Hélène Jacqmin-Gadda

In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Maarten Bieshaar , Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

Longitudinal data are often plagued with sparsity of time points where measurements are available. The functional data analysis perspective has been shown to provide an effective and flexible approach to address this problem for the case…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Matthew Dawson , Hans-Georg Müller

We develop a method to generate predictive regions that cover a multivariate response variable with a user-specified probability. Our work is composed of two components. First, we use a deep generative model to learn a representation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

Quantile regression models provide a wide picture of the conditional distributions of the response variable by capturing the effect of the covariates at different quantile levels. In most applications, the parametric form of those…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-03 T. Rodrigues , J. -L. Dortet-Bernadet , Y. Fan

The estimation of conditional quantiles at extreme tails is of great interest in numerous applications. Various methods that integrate regression analysis with an extrapolation strategy derived from extreme value theory have been proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Yiwei Tang , Judy Huixia Wang , Deyuan Li

This paper develops a semi-parametric procedure for estimation of unconditional quantile partial effects using quantile regression coefficients. The estimator is based on an identification result showing that, for continuous covariates,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-02 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

Prediction of the future trajectory of a disease is an important challenge for personalized medicine and population health management. However, many complex chronic diseases exhibit large degrees of heterogeneity, and furthermore there is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Joseph Futoma , Mark Sendak , C. Blake Cameron , Katherine Heller

The analysis of longitudinal data gives the chance to observe how unit behaviors change over time, but it also poses a series of issues. These have been the focus of an extensive literature in the context of linear and generalized linear…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-20 Marco Alfó , Maria Francesca Marino , Maria Giovanna Ranalli , Nicola Salvati

Uncertainty quantification is crucial in time series prediction, and quantile regression offers a valuable mechanism for uncertainty quantification which is useful for extreme value forecasting. Although deep learning models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Jimmy Cheung , Smruthi Rangarajan , Amelia Maddocks , Xizhe Chen , Rohitash Chandra