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We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

We propose the Deep Distance Measurement Method (DDMM) to improve retrieval accuracy in unsupervised multivariate time series similarity retrieval. DDMM enables learning of minute differences within states in the entire time series and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Susumu Naito , Kouta Nakata , Yasunori Taguchi

To date, testing interactions in high dimensions has been a challenging task. Existing methods often have issues with sensitivity to modeling assumptions and heavily asymptotic nominal p-values. To help alleviate these issues, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-29 Noah Simon , Robert Tibshirani

We propose a method for testing whether hierarchically ordered groups of potentially correlated variables are significant for explaining a response in a high-dimensional linear model. In presence of highly correlated variables, as is very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Jacopo Mandozzi , Peter Bühlmann

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

In this paper, we develop a systematic theory for high dimensional analysis of variance in multivariate linear regression, where the dimension and the number of coefficients can both grow with the sample size. We propose a new \emph{U}~type…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Zhipeng Lou , Xianyang Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We develop a pivotal test to assess the statistical significance of the feature variables in a single-layer feedforward neural network regression model. We propose a gradient-based test statistic and study its asymptotics using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Enguerrand Horel , Kay Giesecke

In data mining applications, feature selection is an essential process since it reduces a model's complexity. The cost of obtaining the feature values must be taken into consideration in many domains. In this paper, we study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-04 Hong Zhao , Fan Min , William Zhu

For high dimensional data, some of the standard statistical techniques do not work well. So modification or further development of statistical methods are necessary. In this paper, we explore these modifications. We start with the important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

Importance sampling is a popular technique in Bayesian inference: by reweighting samples drawn from a proposal distribution we are able to obtain samples and moment estimates from a Bayesian posterior over latent variables. Recent work,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-19 Sam Bowyer , Thomas Heap , Laurence Aitchison

Data acquisition, storage and management have been improved, while the key factors of many phenomena are not well known. Consequently, irrelevant and redundant features artificially increase the size of datasets, which complicates learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-05 Jean Golay , Michael Leuenberger , Mikhail Kanevski

Power systems that need to integrate renewables at a large scale must account for the high levels of uncertainty introduced by these power sources. This can be accomplished with a system of many distributed grid-level storage devices.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joseph L. Durante , Juliana Nascimento , Warren B. Powell

Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-08 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Tobias Schnabel

Quantifying variable importance is essential for answering high-stakes questions in fields like genetics, public policy, and medicine. Current methods generally calculate variable importance for a given model trained on a given dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Jon Donnelly , Srikar Katta , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

Generative models have proven to be an outstanding tool for representing high-dimensional probability distributions and generating realistic-looking images. An essential characteristic of generative models is their ability to produce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Mohamed Elfeki , Camille Couprie , Morgane Riviere , Mohamed Elhoseiny

In this paper, we are concerned with how to select significant variables in semiparametric modeling. Variable selection for semiparametric regression models consists of two components: model selection for nonparametric components and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Runze Li , Hua Liang

Motivation: Gene selection has become a common task in most gene expression studies. The objective of such research is often to identify the smallest possible set of genes that can still achieve good predictive performance. The problem of…