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Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

Time delay estimation plays a critical role in control, stabilization and state estimation of many practical system with time delay. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate delay for discrete time linear multiple-input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Iman Shafikhani , Hazhar Sufi Karimi , Mohammad Mohammadian , Amin Ramezani , Hamid Reza Momeni

Current implementations of Gradient Boosting Machines are mostly designed for single-target regression tasks and commonly assume independence between responses when used in multivariate settings. As such, these models are not well suited if…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Alexander März

Sentence-level classification and sequential labeling are two fundamental tasks in language understanding. While these two tasks are usually modeled separately, in reality, they are often correlated, for example in intent classification and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-02 Mingbo Ma , Kai Zhao , Liang Huang , Bing Xiang , Bowen Zhou

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

We explore the promising performance of a transformer model in predicting outputs of parametric dynamical systems with external time-varying input signals. The outputs of such systems vary not only with physical parameters but also with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Shuwen Sun , Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

This paper addresses the challenges of mining latent patterns and modeling contextual dependencies in complex sequence data. A sequence pattern mining algorithm is proposed by integrating Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Tao Yang , Yu Cheng , Yaokun Ren , Yujia Lou , Minggu Wei , Honghui Xin

Being able to predict the neural signal in the near future from the current and previous observations has the potential to enable real-time responsive brain stimulation to suppress seizures. We have investigated how to use an auto-encoder…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Yilin Song , Jonathan Viventi , Yao Wang

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

We present a deep neural network for a model-free prediction of a chaotic dynamical system from noisy observations. The proposed deep learning model aims to predict the conditional probability distribution of a state variable. The Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-05 Kyongmin Yeo

We present five variants of the standard Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks by uniformly reducing blocks of adaptive parameters in the gating mechanisms. For simplicity, we refer to these models as LSTM1, LSTM2, LSTM3,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-07-18 Atra Akandeh , Fathi M. Salem

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

Initially developed for natural language processing (NLP), Transformer model is now widely used for speech processing tasks such as speaker recognition, due to its powerful sequence modeling capabilities. However, conventional…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-28 Rui Wang , Junyi Ao , Long Zhou , Shujie Liu , Zhihua Wei , Tom Ko , Qing Li , Yu Zhang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a crucial aspect of modern society, playing a pivotal role in facilitating long-term planning and developing early warning systems. While many Transformer-based models have recently been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Yuntian Chen

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

This paper proposes a variational self-attention model (VSAM) that employs variational inference to derive self-attention. We model the self-attention vector as random variables by imposing a probabilistic distribution. The self-attention…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-11 Qiang Zhang , Shangsong Liang , Emine Yilmaz

Memory units have been widely used to enrich the capabilities of deep networks on capturing long-term dependencies in reasoning and prediction tasks, but little investigation exists on deep generative models (DGMs) which are good at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Chongxuan Li , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Discovering temporal lagged and inter-dependencies in multivariate time series data is an important task. However, in many real-world applications, such as commercial cloud management, manufacturing predictive maintenance, and portfolios…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-12 Xuan-Hong Dang , Syed Yousaf Shah , Petros Zerfos

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network models have become the cornerstone for sequential data modeling in numerous applications, ranging from natural language processing to time series forecasting. Despite their success, the problem…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Fahad Mostafa