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Related papers: Selective Monitoring

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Continuous-time measurements are instrumental for a multitude of tasks in quantum engineering and quantum control, including the estimation of dynamical parameters of open quantum systems monitored through the environment. However, such…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-12 Alfred Godley , Madalin Guta

A key challenge in science and engineering is to design experiments to learn about some unknown quantity of interest. Classical experimental design optimally allocates the experimental budget to maximize a notion of utility (e.g., reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Mojmír Mutný , Tadeusz Janik , Andreas Krause

Probing signal injection is a well-established technique to extract additional information from a weakly (or non) observable dynamical system. Using averaging theory, a framework to analyse such schemes for general nonlinear systems has…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Bowen Yi , Romeo Ortega , Houria Siguerdidjane , Juan E. Machado , Weidong Zhang

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

The number of observable degrees of freedom is typically limited in experiments. Here, we consider discrete Markov networks in which an observer has access to a few visible transitions and the waiting times between these transitions.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-26 Alexander M. Maier , Udo Seifert , Jann van der Meer

We consider the problem of predicting the next observation given a sequence of past observations, and consider the extent to which accurate prediction requires complex algorithms that explicitly leverage long-range dependencies. Perhaps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-29 Vatsal Sharan , Sham Kakade , Percy Liang , Gregory Valiant

Formal verification provides assurances that a probabilistic system satisfies its specification--conditioned on the system model being aligned with reality. We propose alignment monitoring to watch that this assumption is justified. We…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Thomas A. Henzinger , Konstantin Kueffner , Vasu Singh , I Sun

We study stochastic optimization algorithms for constrained nonconvex stochastic optimization problems with Markovian data. In particular, we focus on the case when the transition kernel of the Markov chain is state-dependent. Such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Abhishek Roy , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Saeed Ghadimi

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

We study the optimal control of discrete time mean filed dynamical systems under partial observations. We express the global law of the filtered process as a controlled system with its own dynamics. Following a dynamic programming approach,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Jeremy Chichportich , Idris Kharroubi

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

The problem of sequentially finding an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) sequence that is drawn from a probability distribution $f_1$ by searching over multiple sequences, some of which are drawn from $f_1$ and the others of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-10 Jun Geng , Weiyu Xu , Lifeng Lai

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

We present two related anytime algorithms for control of nonlinear systems when the processing resources available are time-varying. The basic idea is to calculate tentative control input sequences for as many time steps into the future as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Daniel E. Quevedo , Vijay Gupta

The problem of efficiently sampling from a set of (undirected, or directed) graphs with a given degree sequence has many applications. One approach to this problem uses a simple Markov chain, which we call the switch chain, to perform the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Catherine Greenhill , Matteo Sfragara

When deployed in the real world, machine learning models inevitably encounter changes in the data distribution, and certain -- but not all -- distribution shifts could result in significant performance degradation. In practice, it may make…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Aaditya Ramdas

Feature selection is an important problem in machine learning, which aims to select variables that lead to an optimal predictive model. In this paper, we focus on feature selection for post-intervention outcome prediction from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Sofia Triantafillou , Fattaneh Jabbari , Greg Cooper