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Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-24 István Z. Kiss , Joel C. Miller , Péter L. Simon

We analyze the spreading of viruses in scale-free networks with high clustering and degree correlations, as found in the Internet graph. For the Suscetible-Infected-Susceptible model of epidemics the prevalence undergoes a phase transition…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-09-23 Victor M. Eguiluz , Konstantin Klemm

Epidemiological contact network models have emerged as an important tool in understanding and predicting the spread of infectious disease, due to their capacity to engage individual heterogeneity that may underlie essential dynamics of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Jack Leitch , Kathleen A. Alexander , Srijan Sengupta

Contact tracing is one of the most important control measures deployed during epidemics. Relying on the identification of contacts of known infected individuals, it necessitates a network perspective. Although pairwise models have been used…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-05 Giulia de Meijere , Andrea Pugliese , Gerardo Iñiguez , Péter L. Simon , István Z. Kiss

We study by analytical methods and large scale simulations a dynamical model for the spreading of epidemics in complex networks. In networks with exponentially bounded connectivity we recover the usual epidemic behavior with a threshold…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Many progresses in the understanding of epidemic spreading models have been obtained thanks to numerous modeling efforts and analytical and numerical studies, considering host populations with very different structures and properties,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-02 Antoine Moinet , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

There has been much recent interest in modelling epidemics on networks, particularly in the presence of substantial clustering. Here, we develop pairwise methods to answer questions that are often addressed using epidemic models, in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-12-10 Thomas House , Matt J Keeling

In epidemic modeling, the term infection strength indicates the ratio of infection rate and cure rate. If the infection strength is higher than a certain threshold -- which we define as the epidemic threshold - then the epidemic spreads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-19 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio , Fahmida N. Chowdhury

We show for a model of scale-free graphs with biased partner choice that knowing the exponent for the degree distribution is in general not sufficient to decide epidemic threshold properties for exponents less than three.We show that the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Ph. Blanchard , Ch. -H. Chang , T. Krueger

Networks are widely used to model the contact structure within a population and in the resulting models of disease spread. While networks provide a high degree of realism, the analysis of the exact model is out of reach and even numerical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-15 Nicos Georgiou , IstvÁn Z. Kiss , PÉter Simon

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

In this paper, we analyze dynamic switching networks, wherein the networks switch arbitrarily among a set of topologies. For this class of dynamic networks, we derive an epidemic threshold, considering the SIS epidemic model. First, an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-08-03 Mohammad Reza Sanatkar , Warren N. White , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Caterina Scoglio , Karren A. Garrett

Epidemics on complex networks is a widely investigated topic in the last few years, mainly due to the last pandemic events. Usually, real contact networks are dynamic, hence much effort has been invested in studying epidemics on evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-18 Hillel Sanhedrai , Shlomo Havlin

In this letter, a generalization of pairwise models to non-Markovian epidemics on networks is presented. For the case of infectious periods of fixed length, the resulting pairwise model is a system of delay differential equations (DDEs),…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-19 Istvan Z. Kiss , Gergely Röst , Zsolt Vizi

In this paper, a branching process approximation for the spread of a Reed-Frost epidemic on a network with tunable clustering is derived. The approximation gives rise to expressions for the epidemic threshold and the probability of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-30 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Andreas Nordvall Lagerås , Mathias Lindholm

The spatial structure of populations is a key element in the understanding of the large scale spreading of epidemics. Motivated by the recent empirical evidence on the heterogeneous properties of transportation and commuting patterns among…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-03-19 Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vespignani

The study of complex networks sheds light on the relation between the structure and function of complex systems. One remarkable result is the absence of an epidemic threshold in infinite-size scale-free networks, which implies that any…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-10-08 S. Meloni , A. Arenas , Y. Moreno

This paper presents a compact pairwise model that describes the spread of multi-stage epidemics on networks. The multi-stage model corresponds to a gamma-distributed infectious period which interpolates between the classical Markovian…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-08 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

We develop a theoretical approach to percolation in random clustered networks. We find that, although clustering in scale-free networks can strongly affect some percolation properties, such as the size and the resilience of the giant…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna

The time variation of contacts in a networked system may fundamentally alter the properties of spreading processes and affect the condition for large-scale propagation, as encoded in the epidemic threshold. Despite the great interest in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-14 Eugenio Valdano , Luca Ferreri , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza
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