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Oil prices above $100/barrel values have proven unaffordable for the world economy, while lower prices have proven unaffordable for unconventional oil sources, resulting in a frantic price swing since 2007-2008. We identify and combine for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-25 Francesco Meneguzzo , Rosaria Ciriminna , Lorenzo Albanese , Mario Pagliaro

We pose an optimal control problem arising in a perhaps new model for retirement investing. Given a control function $f$ and our current net worth as $X(t)$ for any $t$, we invest an amount $f(X(t))$ in the market. We need a fortune of $M$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-04 Philip Ernst , Dean Foster , Larry Shepp

In this paper, we consider the control problem with the Average-Value-at-Risk (AVaR) criteria of the possibly unbounded $L^{1}$-costs in infinite horizon on a Markov Decision Process (MDP). With a suitable state aggregation and by choosing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Kerem Ugurlu

This paper studies the problem of the deterministic version of the Verification Theorem for the optimal m-states switching in infinite horizon under Markovian framework with arbitrary switching cost functions. The problem is formulated as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-15 Brahim El Asri

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading volume amounts when the dynamics of the risky asset returns are governed by a discrete-time approximation of the Markov-modulated geometric…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-07 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obyedko

We study the stochastic dynamics of natural resources under the threat of ecological regime shifts. We establish a Pareto optimal framework of regime shift detection under uncertainty that minimizes the delay with which economic agents…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-27 Neha Deopa , Daniele Rinaldo

The Markowitz problem consists of finding in a financial market a self-financing trading strategy whose final wealth has maximal mean and minimal variance. We study this in continuous time in a general semimartingale model and under cone…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-04 Christoph Czichowsky , Martin Schweizer

We consider a type of optimal switching problems with non-uniform execution delays and ramping. Such problems frequently occur in the operation of economical and engineering systems. We first provide a solution to the problem by applying a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Magnus Perninge

We find a maximum principle for general non-Markovian semi-martingales. We do so by describing the adjoint processes with non-anticipating stochastic derivatives in a martingale random field setting. In the case of the L\'evy processes this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Steffen Sjursen

Consider the discounted optimal stopping problem for a real valued Markov process with only positive jumps. We provide a theorem to verify that the optimal stopping region has the form {x >= x^*} for some critical threshold x^*, and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Fabian Crocce , Ernesto Mordecki

We study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to convergence trading, which is an investment strategy that exploits temporary mispricing by simultaneously buying relatively underpriced assets and selling short relatively…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-08 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

We present a methodology for obtaining explicit solutions to infinite time horizon optimal stopping problems involving general, one-dimensional, It\^o diffusions, payoff functions that need not be smooth and state-dependent discounting.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-10 Timothy C. Johnson

We use one-step conditional risk mappings to formulate a risk averse version of a total cost problem on a controlled Markov process in discrete time infinite horizon. The nonnegative one step costs are assumed to be lower semi-continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Kerem Ugurlu

At present, the problem to steer a non-Markovian process with minimum energy between specified end-point marginal distributions remains unsolved. Herein, we consider the special case for a non-Markovian process y(t) which, however, assumes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Daniele Alpago , Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou , Michele Pavon

Most decision theories, including expected utility theory, rank dependent utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, assume that investors are only interested in the distribution of returns and not in the states of the economy in which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-03 Carole Bernard , Franck Moraux , Ludger Rueschendorf , Steven Vanduffel

We study an optimal liquidation problem with multiplicative price impact in which the trend of the asset's price is an unobservable Bernoulli random variable. The investor aims at selling over an infinite time-horizon a fixed amount of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Felix Dammann , Giorgio Ferrari

In commodity markets the convergence of futures towards spot prices, at the expiration of the contract, is usually justified by no-arbitrage arguments. In this article, we propose an alternative approach that relies on the expected profit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-27 René Aïd , Luciano Campi , Delphine Lautier

For an infinite-horizon continuous-time optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, we look for an optimal equilibrium, which generates larger values than any other equilibrium does on the entire state space. When the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou

In this paper we study a system of variational inequalities where the operator is non-local, possibly degenerate and of second order. A special case of this type of problem occurs in the context of optimal switching problems when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Niklas L. P. LundstrÖm , Kaj NystrÖm , Marcus Olofsson

This paper investigates the problem of energy-optimal control for autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs). To improve the endurance of AUVs, we propose a novel energy-optimal control scheme based on the economic model predictive control (MPC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-21 Niankai Yang , Dongsik Chang , Mohammad Reza Amini , Matthew Johnson-Roberson , Jing Sun