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The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

How much more will we learn about single-field inflationary models in the future? We address this question in the context of Bayesian design and information theory. We develop a novel method to compute the expected utility of deciding…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-13 Robert J. Hardwick , Vincent Vennin , David Wands

Refractory multi-principal element alloys (RMPEAs) represent a novel class of alloys characterized by an extensive compositional design space and the potential for exceptional mechanical performance under extreme conditions. While accurate…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-21 A. K. Shargh , C. D. Stiles , J. A. El-Awady

Phase estimation protocols provide a fundamental benchmark for the field of quantum metrology. The latter represents one of the most relevant applications of quantum theory, potentially enabling the capability of measuring unknown physical…

Data required to calibrate uncertain GCM parameterizations are often only available in limited regions or time periods, for example, observational data from field campaigns, or data generated in local high-resolution simulations. This…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-05 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Michael F. Howland , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart

Uncertainty quantification for image data is dominated by complex deep learning methods, yet the field lacks an interpretable, mathematically grounded baseline. We propose Bayesian scattering to fill this gap, serving as a first-step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bernardo Fichera , Zarko Ivkovic , Kjell Jorner , Philipp Hennig , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

Scientific Artificial Intelligence (AI) applications require models that deliver trustworthy uncertainty estimates while respecting domain constraints. Existing uncertainty quantification methods lack mechanisms to incorporate symbolic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shahnawaz Alam , Mohammed Mudassir Uddin , Mohammed Kaif Pasha

We consider systems under uncertainty whose dynamics are partially unknown. Our aim is to study satisfaction of temporal logic properties by trajectories of such systems. We express these properties as signal temporal logic formulas and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Ali Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods are a set of tools providing posterior distributions on the output of numerical methods. The use of these methods is usually motivated by the fact that they can represent our uncertainty due to…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-01 Xiaoyue Xi , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

High-entropy alloys (HEAs) are known for superb combination of performance attributes, making them ideal for advanced applications, e.g., nuclear engineering. The concept of cobalt-free HEAs aims to mitigate concerns about cobalt's…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-12 Xuliang Luo , Yulin Li , Tero Mäkinen , Silvia Bonfanti , Wenyi Huo , Mikko J. Alava

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

Fault diagnosis of mechanical equipment involves data collection, feature extraction, and pattern recognition but is often hindered by the imbalanced nature of industrial data, introducing significant uncertainty and reducing diagnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Zhixuan Lian , Shangyu Li , Qixuan Huang , Zijian Huang , Haifei Liu , Jianan Qiu , Puyu Yang , Laifa Tao

We further develop a recently introduced phase-field model of rapid alloy solidification [Ji et al., PRL 2023]. This model utilizes enhanced solute diffusivity within the spatially diffuse interface region to quantitatively capture solute…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-08-11 Kaihua Ji , Mingwang Zhong , Alain Karma

Many modern data sets require inference methods that can estimate the shared and individual-specific components of variability in collections of matrices that change over time. Promising methods have been developed to analyze these types of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Arkaprava Roy , Jana Schaich-Borg , David B Dunson

In this work, we present methodologies for the quantification of confidence in bottom-up coarse-grained models for molecular and macromolecular systems. Coarse-graining methods have been extensively used in the past decades in order to…

Uncertainty quantification is critical for ensuring adequate predictive power of computational models used in biology. Focusing on two anaerobic digestion models, this article introduces a novel generalized Bayesian procedure, called…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-02 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Gabriel Capson-Tojo , Benjamin Guedj , Roman Moscoviz

In this paper, a validation and uncertainty quantification (VUQ) framework for the Eulerian-Eulerian two-fluid-model based multiphase-computational fluid dynamics solver (MCFD) is formulated. The framework aims to answer the question: how…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-23 Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Ralph Smith

High-fidelity scale-resolving simulations of turbulent flows quickly become prohibitively expensive, especially at high Reynolds numbers. As a remedy, we may use multifidelity models (MFM) to construct predictive models for flow quantities…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-14 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Timofey Mukha , Philipp Schlatter

In chemistry, deep neural network models have been increasingly utilized in a variety of applications such as molecular property predictions, novel molecule designs, and planning chemical reactions. Despite the rapid increase in the use of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-05-17 Seongok Ryu , Yongchan Kwon , Woo Youn Kim

Accurate phase diagram prediction is crucial for understanding alloy thermodynamics and advancing materials design. While traditional CALPHAD methods are robust, they are resource-intensive and limited by experimentally assessed data. This…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-08 Siya Zhu , Raymundo Arróyave , Doğuhan Sarıtürk