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We propose a simple SIR model in order to investigate the impact of various confinement strategies on a most virulent epidemic. Our approach is motivated by the current COVID-19 pandemic. The main hypothesis is the existence of two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-30 G. Nakamura , B. Grammaticos , M. Badoual

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

The propagation of model epidemics on a small-world network under the action of immunization is studied. Although the connectivity in this kind of networks is rather uniform, a vaccination strategy focused on the best connected individuals…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Marcelo Kuperman

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

Recently, motivated by the pioneer works that reveal the small-world effect and scale-free property of various real-life networks, many scientists devote themselves into studying complex networks. One of the ultimate goals is to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Tao Zhou , Zhong-Qian Fu , Bing-Hong Wang

Our recent paper [Grauwin et al. Sci. Rep. 7 (2017)] demonstrates that community and hierarchical structure of the networks of human interactions largely determines the least and should be taken into account while modeling them. In the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-18 Stanislav Sobolevsky

A number of recent studies have focused on the statistical properties of networked systems such as social networks and the World-Wide Web. Researchers have concentrated particularly on a few properties which seem to be common to many…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Michelle Girvan , M. E. J. Newman

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

Discovering overlapping community structures is a crucial step to understanding the structure and dynamics of many networks. In this paper we develop a symmetric binary matrix factorization model (SBMF) to identify overlapping communities.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Zhong-Yuan Zhang , Yong Wang , Yong-Yeol Ahn

We study epidemic processes with immunization on very large 1-dimensional lattices, where at least some of the infections are non-local, with rates decaying as power laws p(x) ~ x^{-sigma-1} for large distances x. When starting with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Peter Grassberger

Identifying key nodes is crucial for accelerating or impeding dynamic spreading in a network. Community-aware centrality measures tackle this problem by exploiting the community structure of a network. Although there is a growing trend to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Stephany Rajeh , Marinette Savonnet , Eric Leclercq , Hocine Cherifi

A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , David Sirl

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

When modelling epidemics or spread of information on online social networks, it is crucial to include not just the density of the connections through which infections can be transmitted, but also the variability of susceptibility. Different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-18 Ágnes Backhausz , Edit Bognár

In this paper, we consider networks consisting of a finite number of non-overlapping communities. To extract these communities, the interaction between pairs of nodes may be sampled from a large available data set, which allows a given node…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-02-20 Se-Young Yun , Alexandre Proutiere

Vaccination has played an important role in preventing the spread of infectious diseases. However, the limited availability of vaccines and personnel at the roll-out of a new vaccine and the costs of vaccination campaigns often limit how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-27 Rowan Hoogervorst , Evelien van der Hurk , David Pisinger

We study how a fraction of a population should be vaccinated to most efficiently top epidemics. We argue that only local information (about the neighborhood of specific vertices) is usable in practice, and hence we consider only local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Petter Holme

Vaccination is crucial for the control of epidemics. Yet it is a social dilemma since non-vaccinators can benefit from the herd immunity created by the vaccinators. Thus the optimum vaccination level is not reached via voluntary vaccination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-06 Yuting Wei , Yaosen Lin , Bin Wu