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We develop a new model of insulin-glucose dynamics for forecasting blood glucose in type 1 diabetics. We augment an existing biomedical model by introducing time-varying dynamics driven by a machine learning sequence model. Our model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-10 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily Fox

Background and objective: Diabetes is one of the four leading causes of death worldwide, necessitating daily blood glucose monitoring. While sweat offers a promising non-invasive alternative for glucose monitoring, its application remains…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-05 Xiaoyu Yin , Elisabetta Peri , Eduard Pelssers , Jaap den Toonder , Lisa Klous , Hein Daanen , Massimo Mischi

The global diabetes epidemic highlights the importance of maintaining good glycemic control. Glucose prediction is a fundamental aspect of diabetes management, facilitating real-time decision-making. Recent research has introduced models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Ming Cheng , Xingjian Diao , Ziyi Zhou , Yanjun Cui , Wenjun Liu , Shitong Cheng

Blood glucose value prediction is an important task in diabetes management. While it is reported that glucose concentration is sensitive to social context such as mood, physical activity, stress, diet, alongside the influence of diabetes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-05 Mohammad Akbari , Rumi Chunara

Progress in the biomedical field through the use of deep learning is hindered by the lack of interpretability of the models. In this paper, we study the RETAIN architecture for the forecasting of future glucose values for diabetic people.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-11 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) affects millions worldwide, requiring continuous monitoring to prevent severe hypo- and hyperglycemic events. While continuous glucose monitoring has improved blood glucose management, deploying predictive models on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Mirko Paolo Barbato , Giorgia Rigamonti , Davide Marelli , Paolo Napoletano

In this paper, we build a new, simple, and interpretable mathematical model to estimate and forecast physiology related to the human glucose-insulin system, constrained by available data. By constructing a simple yet flexible model class…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-22 M. Sirlanci , M. E. Levine , C. C. Low Wang , D. J. Albers , A. M. Stuart

The problem of real time prediction of blood glucose (BG) levels based on the readings from a continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) device is a problem of great importance in diabetes care, and therefore, has attracted a lot of research in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 H. N. Mhaskar , S. V. Pereverzyev , M. D. van der Walt

This paper presents the Derivatives Combination Predictor (DCP), a novel model fusion algorithm for making long-term glucose predictions for diabetic people. First, using the history of glucose predictions made by several models, the future…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-10 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Precise glucose level monitoring is critical for people with diabetes to avoid serious complications. While there are several methods for continuous glucose level monitoring, research on maintenance devices is limited. To mitigate the gap,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Azmine Toushik Wasi

Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disorder characterized by persistently high blood glucose levels (BGLs), leading to severe complications such as cardiovascular disease, neuropathy, and retinopathy. Predicting BGLs enables patients to…

Blood glucose simulation allows the effectiveness of type 1 diabetes (T1D) management strategies to be evaluated without patient harm. Deep learning algorithms provide a promising avenue for extending simulator capabilities; however, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Harry Emerson , Ryan McConville , Matthew Guy

In this paper we investigate the use of model-based reinforcement learning to assist people with Type 1 Diabetes with insulin dose decisions. The proposed architecture consists of multiple Echo State Networks to predict blood glucose levels…

The mathematical modelling of biological systems has historically followed one of two approaches: comprehensive and minimal. In comprehensive models, the involved biological pathways are modelled independently, then brought together as an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Eric Ng , Jaycee Morgan Kaufman , Lennaert van Veen , Yan Fossat

With the increasing availability of wearable devices, continuous monitoring of individuals' physiological and behavioral patterns has become significantly more accessible. Access to these continuous patterns about individuals' statuses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Ramin Ramazi , Christine Perndorfer , Emily Soriano , Jean-Philippe Laurenceau , Rahmatollah Beheshti

Blood glucose (BG) management is crucial for type-1 diabetes patients resulting in the necessity of reliable artificial pancreas or insulin infusion systems. In recent years, deep learning techniques have been utilized for a more accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Md Fazle Rabby , Yazhou Tu , Md Imran Hossen , Insup Le , Anthony S Maida , Xiali Hei

The rising rates of diabetes necessitate innovative methods for its management. Continuous glucose monitors (CGM) are small medical devices that measure blood glucose levels at regular intervals providing insights into daily patterns of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Renat Sergazinov , Elizabeth Chun , Valeriya Rogovchenko , Nathaniel Fernandes , Nicholas Kasman , Irina Gaynanova

In the context of time-series forecasting, we propose a LSTM-based recurrent neural network architecture and loss function that enhance the stability of the predictions. In particular, the loss function penalizes the model, not only on the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-09 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Type 1 Diabetes is a chronic autoimmune condition in which the immune system attacks and destroys insulin-producing beta cells in the pancreas, resulting in little to no insulin production. Insulin helps glucose in your blood enter your…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-04 Soon Jynn Chu , Nalaka Amarasiri , Sandesh Giri , Priyata Kafle

Blood glucose level monitoring is of great importance, especially for subjects experiencing type 1 diabetes. Accurate monitoring of their blood glucose level prevents dangerous and life-threatening situations that might be experienced by…