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We investigate the issue of parameter estimation with nonuniform negative sampling for imbalanced data. We first prove that, with imbalanced data, the available information about unknown parameters is only tied to the relatively small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 HaiYing Wang , Aonan Zhang , Chong Wang

In this paper we focus on providing sufficient conditions for some well-known stochastic orders in reliability but dealing with the discrete versions of them, filling a gap in the literature. In particular, we find conditions based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 F. Belzunce , C. Martínez-Riquelme , M. Pereda

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

Many discrete-time optimal stopping problems are known to have more tractable limit forms based on a planar Poisson process. Using this tool we find a solution to the optimal stopping problem for i.i.d. sequence of $n$ discrete uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Alexander Gnedin

We generalize the notion of minimax convergence rate. In contrast to the standard definition, we do not assume that the sample size is fixed in advance. Allowing for varying sample size results in time-robust minimax rates and estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Alisa Kirichenko , Peter Grünwald

We present a sample- and time-efficient differentially private algorithm for ordinary least squares, with error that depends linearly on the dimension and is independent of the condition number of $X^\top X$, where $X$ is the design matrix.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Gavin Brown , Jonathan Hayase , Samuel Hopkins , Weihao Kong , Xiyang Liu , Sewoong Oh , Juan C. Perdomo , Adam Smith

We consider the best-choice problem for independent (not necessarily iid) observations $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ with the aim of selecting the sample minimum. We show that in this full generality the monotone case of optimal stopping holds and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Alexander Gnedin , Patryk Kozieł , Małgorzata Sulkowska

We present an information-theoretic lower bound for the problem of parameter estimation with time-uniform coverage guarantees. Via a new a reduction to sequential testing, we obtain stronger lower bounds that capture the hardness of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-13 John C. Duchi , Saminul Haque

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We consider distributed statistical optimization in one-shot setting, where there are $m$ machines each observing $n$ i.i.d. samples. Based on its observed samples, each machine then sends an $O(\log(mn))$-length message to a server, at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Arsalan Sharifnassab , Saber Salehkaleybar , S. Jamaloddin Golestani

We establish new conditions for obtaining uniform bounds on the moments of discrete-time stochastic processes. Our results require a weak negative drift criterion along with a state-dependent restriction on the sizes of the one-step jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Arnab Ganguly , Debasish Chatterjee

We study the problem of robustly estimating the mean of a $d$-dimensional distribution given $N$ examples, where most coordinates of every example may be missing and $\varepsilon N$ examples may be arbitrarily corrupted. Assuming each…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Lunjia Hu , Omer Reingold

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

Suppose $k$ balls are dropped into $n$ boxes independently with uniform probability, where $n, k$ are large with ratio approximately equal to some positive real $\lambda$. The maximum box count has a counterintuitive behavior: first of all,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Andrea Ottolini

The Ewens sampling formula is a distribution related to the random partition of a positive integer. In this study, we investigate the issue of non-existence solutions in parameter estimation under the distribution. As a result, the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Masayo Y. Hirose , Shuhei Mano

We show first that there are intrinsic relationships among different conditions, old and recent, which lead to some general statements in both the Stieltjes and the Hamburger moment problems. Then we describe checkable conditions and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-13 Gwo Dong Lin , Jordan Stoyanov

The moments of random variables are fundamental statistical measures for characterizing the shape of a probability distribution, encompassing metrics such as mean, variance, skewness, and kurtosis. Additionally, the product moments,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

Genetic regulatory circuits universally cope with different sources of noise that limit their ability to coordinate input and output signals. In many cases, optimal regulatory performance can be thought to correspond to configurations of…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-19 Andrea Crisanti , Andrea De Martino , Jonathan Fiorentino

The aim of this paper is to provide several novel upper bounds on the excess risk with a primal focus on classification problems. We suggest two approaches and the obtained bounds are represented via the distribution dependent local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas