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Firm disclosures about future prospects are crucial for corporate valuation and compliance with global regulations, such as the EU's MAR and the US's SEC Rule 10b-5 and RegFD. To comply with disclosure obligations, issuers must identify…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Moritz Scherrmann , Ralf Elsas

This paper presents an approach proposed for the Science4cast 2021 competition, organized by the Institute of Advanced Research in Artificial Intelligence, whose main goal was to predict the likelihood of future associations between machine…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Francisco Valente

Academic administrators and funding agencies must predict the publication productivity of research groups and individuals to assess authors' abilities. However, such prediction remains an elusive task due to the randomness of individual…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Wumei Du , Zheng Xie , Yiqin Lv

In many growing networks, the age of the nodes plays an important role in deciding the attachment probability of the incoming nodes. For example, in a citation network, very old papers are seldom cited while recent papers are usually cited…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Kamalika Basu Hajra , Parongama sen

Why do modern language models, trained to do well on next-word prediction, appear to generate coherent documents and capture long-range structure? Here we show that next-token prediction is provably powerful for learning longer-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Xinyuan Cao , Santosh S. Vempala

Faculty hiring shapes the flow of ideas, resources, and opportunities in academia, influencing not only individual career trajectories but also broader patterns of institutional prestige and scientific progress. While traditional studies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Samantha Dies , David Liu , Tina Eliassi-Rad

The problem of link prediction has attracted considerable recent attention from various domains such as sociology, anthropology, information science, and computer sciences. A link prediction algorithm is proposed based on link similarity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-17 Maosheng Jiang , Yonxiang Chen , Ling Chen

Topological properties of networks are widely applied to study the link-prediction problem recently. Common Neighbors, for example, is a natural yet efficient framework. Many variants of Common Neighbors have been thus proposed to further…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-09-18 Fei Tan , Yongxiang Xia , Boyao Zhu

To account for strong aging characteristics of citation networks, we modify Google's PageRank algorithm by initially distributing random surfers exponentially with age, in favor of more recent publications. The output of this algorithm,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Dylan Walker , Huafeng Xie , Koon-Kiu Yan , Sergei Maslov

Future Information Retrieval, especially in connection with the internet, will incorporate the content descriptions that are generated with social network extraction technologies and preferably incorporate the probability theory for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-07-17 Mahyuddin K. M. Nasution , Shahrul Azman Noah

This paper describes recent development and test implementation of a continuous time recurrent neural network that has been configured to predict rates of change in securities. It presents outcomes in the context of popular technical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-05 Christopher S Kirk

In reasoning about sequential events it is natural to pose probabilistic queries such as "when will event A occur next" or "what is the probability of A occurring before B", with applications in areas such as user modeling, medicine, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Alex Boyd , Sam Showalter , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

In the recent publication (arxiv:2007.08063v2 [cs.LG]) a fast prediction algorithm for a single recurrent network (RN) was suggested. In this manuscript we generalize this approach to a chain of RNs and show that it can be implemented in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Boris Rubinstein

Neural predictive models have achieved remarkable performance improvements in various natural language processing tasks. However, most neural predictive models suffer from the lack of explainability of predictions, limiting their practical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Dongfang Li , Jingcong Tao , Qingcai Chen , Baotian Hu

While links in simple networks describe pairwise interactions between nodes, it is necessary to incorporate hypernetworks for modeling complex systems with arbitrary-sized interactions. In this study, we focus on the hyperlink prediction…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Liming Pan , Hui-Juan Shang , Peiyan Li , Haixing Dai , Wei Wang , Lixin Tian

In this paper we present a new version of a network growth model, generalized in order to describe the behavior of social networks. The case of study considered is the preprint archive at cul.arxiv.org. Each node corresponds to a scientist,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Michele Catanzaro , Guido Caldarelli , Luciano Pietronero

The rapidly growing amount of data that scientific content providers should deliver to a user makes them create effective recommendation tools. A title of an article is often the only shown element to attract people's attention. We offer an…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Alexander Shvets

Knowing which words have been attended to in previous time steps while generating a translation is a rich source of information for predicting what words will be attended to in the future. We improve upon the attention model of Bahdanau et…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Zichao Yang , Zhiting Hu , Yuntian Deng , Chris Dyer , Alex Smola

We propose a novel convolutional architecture, named $gen$CNN, for word sequence prediction. Different from previous work on neural network-based language modeling and generation (e.g., RNN or LSTM), we choose not to greedily summarize the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-04-27 Mingxuan Wang , Zhengdong Lu , Hang Li , Wenbin Jiang , Qun Liu

Prediction is a complex notion, and different predictors (such as people, computer programs, and probabilistic theories) can pursue very different goals. In this paper I will review some popular kinds of prediction and argue that the theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk