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In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

We present an approach for testing for the existence of continuous generators of discrete stochastic transition matrices. Typically, the known approaches to ascertain the existence of continuous Markov processes are based in the assumption…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-23 Pedro Lencastre , Frank Raischel , Tim Rogers , Pedro G. Lind

Semi-Markov processes are Markovian processes in which the firing time of the transitions is modelled by probabilistic distributions over positive reals interpreted as the probability of firing a transition at a certain moment in time. In…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Mathias Ruggaard Pedersen , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Giorgio Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Radu Mardare

Markov matrices of equal-input type constitute a widely used model class. The corresponding equal-input generators span an interesting subalgebra of the real matrices with zero row sums. Here, we summarise some of their amazing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Michael Baake , Jeremy Sumner

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for a homogeneous Markov process taking values in $\R^n$ to enjoy the time-inversion property of degree $\alpha$. The condition sets the shape for the semigroup densities of the process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephan Lawi

Using asymptotics of Toeplitz+Hankel determinants, we establish formulae for the asymptotics of the moments of the moments of the characteristic polynomials of random orthogonal and symplectic matrices, as the matrix-size tends to infinity.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-01-24 Tom Claeys , Johannes Forkel , Jonathan P. Keating

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

In this paper, we seek to understand the behavior of dynamical systems that are perturbed by a parameter that changes discretely in time. If we impose certain conditions, we can study certain embedded systems within a hybrid system as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Xavier Garcia , Jennifer Kunze , Thomas Rudelius , Anthony Sanchez , Sijing Shao , Emily Speranza , Chad Vidden

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

We treat the class of universal Markov processes on the d-dimensional Euklidean space which do not depend on random. For these, as well as for several subclasses, we prove criteria whether a function f, defined on the positive half-line,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Alexander Schnurr

We show that stochastic processes with linear conditional expectations and quadratic conditional variances are Markov, and their transition probabilities are related to a three-parameter family of orthogonal polynomials which generalize the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodzimierz Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

We study general properties for the family of stochastic processes with polynomial regression property, that is that every conditional moment of the process is a polynomial. It turns out that then there exists a family of polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Paweł J. Szabłowski

We introduce a novel time-homogeneous Markov embedding of a class of time inhomogeneous Markov chains widely used in the context of Monte Carlo sampling algorithms which allows us to answer one of the most basic, yet hard, question about…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-15 Christophe Andrieu

We establish a new connection between moments of $n \times n$ random matrices $X_n$ and hypergeometric orthogonal polynomials. Specifically, we consider moments $\mathbb{E}\mathrm{Tr} X_n^{-s}$ as a function of the complex variable $s \in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-23 Fabio Deelan Cunden , Francesco Mezzadri , Neil O'Connell , Nick Simm

Inhomogeneous phase-type (IPH) distributions extend classical phase-type models by allowing transition intensities to vary over time, offering greater flexibility for modeling heavy-tailed or time-dependent absorption phenomena. We focus on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Alejandra Quintos

With the growth of magnitude of multi-agent networks, distributed optimization holds considerable significance within complex systems. Convergence, a pivotal goal in this domain, is contingent upon the analysis of infinite products of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Zhaoyue Xia , Jun Du , Chunxiao Jiang , H. Vincent Poor , Zhu Han , Yong Ren

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ling Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

Non-homogeneous renewal processes are not yet well established. One of the tools necessary for studying these processes is the non-homogeneous time convolution. Renewal theory has great relevance in general in economics and in particular in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Fulvio Gismondi , Jacques Janssen , Raimondo Manca