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In this paper, we propose a new model to address the problem of negative interest rates that preserves the analytical tractability of the original Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model without introducing a shift to the market interest rates,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Marco Di Francesco , Kevin Kamm

In this paper, we propose a new exogenous model to address the problem of negative interest rates that preserves the analytical tractability of the original Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model with a perfect fit to the observed term-structure.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Marco Di Francesco , Kevin Kamm

This paper introduces a novel stochastic model for credit spreads. The stochastic approach leverages the diffusion of default intensities via a CIR++ model and is formulated within a risk-neutral probability space. Our research primarily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Djibril Sarr

We propose a formulation to construct new classes of financial price processes based on the insight that the key variable driving prices $P$ is the earning-over-price ratio $\gamma \simeq 1/P$, which we refer to as the earning yield and is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-21 Li Lin , Didier Sornette

In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox-Ingersoll-Ross two factors model describing clustering of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 B. Stehlikova , D. Sevcovic

Explicitly taking into account the risk incurred when borrowing at a shorter tenor versus lending at a longer tenor ("roll-over risk"), we construct a stochastic model framework for the term structure of interest rates in which a frequency…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-19 Mesias Alfeus , Martino Grasselli , Erik Schlögl

This study develops an integrated stochastic modeling framework for pricing short and medium-maturity equity options and assessing interest-rate risk using the Heston (1993), Bates (1996), and CIR (1985) models. We calibrate the Heston…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-28 Nunik Srikandi Putri , Ajay Kumar Verma , Neo Paul Lesupi

The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits , Josef Teichmann , Mario Wüthrich

We study an extension of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process that incorporates jumps at deterministic dates, referred to as stochastic discontinuities. Our main motivation stems from short-rate modelling in the context of overnight rates,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Claudio Fontana , Simone Pavarana , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper provides insight into the estimation and asymptotic behavior of parameters in interest rate models, focusing primarily on the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and its extension -- the more general Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-15 Sourojyoti Barick

We investigate the joint description of the interest-rate term stuctures of Italy and an AAA-rated European country by mean of a --here proposed-- correlated CIR-like bivariate model where one of the state variables is interpreted as a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 L. Bertini , L. Passalacqua

This work is denoted to studying the tail behavior of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes with regime-switching. One essential difference shown in this work between CIR process with regime-switching and without regime-switching is that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Tongtong Hou , Jinghai Shao

The Convolution and Master equations governing the time behavior of the term structure of Interest Rates are set up both for continuous variables and for their discretised forms. The notion of Seed is introduced. The discretised theoretical…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Alderweireld , Jean Nuyts

This paper considers the case of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps under the class of equity-interest rate hybridization. Our modeling framework consists of the equity which follows the dynamics of the Heston stochastic volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan , Wenjun Zhang , Jiling Cao

In this paper, we consider a stochastic model based on the Cox- Ingersoll- Ross model (CIR). The stochastic model is parameterized analytically by applying It\^o's calculus and the trend functions of the proposed process is calculated. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Nafidi Ahmed , El Azri Abdenbi

The aim of this paper is to propose a new methodology that allows forecasting, through Vasicek and CIR models, of future expected interest rates (for each maturity) based on rolling windows from observed financial market data. The novelty,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-16 Giuseppe Orlando , Rosa Maria Mininni , Michele Bufalo

Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes are extensively used in state-of-the-art models for the approximative pricing of financial derivatives. In particular, CIR processes are day after day employed to model instantaneous variances (squared…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Mario Hefter , Arnulf Jentzen

We present a family of models for the term structure of interest rates which describe the interest rate curve as a stochastic process in a Hilbert space. We start by decomposing the deformations of the term structure into the variations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-17 Rama Cont

Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While [1] showed that no two-factor…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Damir Filipović , Martin Larsson , Francesco Statti

We address the so-called calibration problem which consists of fitting in a tractable way a given model to a specified term structure like, e.g., yield or default probability curves. Time-homogeneous jump-diffusions like Vasicek or…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-27 Cheikh Mbaye , Frédéric Vrins
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