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A crucial task in predictive maintenance is estimating the remaining useful life of physical systems. In the last decade, deep learning has improved considerably upon traditional model-based and statistical approaches in terms of predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Luca Della Libera , Jacopo Andreoli , Davide Dalle Pezze , Mirco Ravanelli , Gian Antonio Susto

Implicit models, which allow for the generation of samples but not for point-wise evaluation of probabilities, are omnipresent in real-world problems tackled by machine learning and a hot topic of current research. Some examples include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

Mixture distributions provide a versatile and widely used framework for modeling random phenomena, and are particularly well-suited to the analysis of geoscientific processes and their attendant risks to society. For continuous mixtures of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

We propose and analyse a novel nonparametric goodness of fit testing procedure for exchangeable exponential random graph models (ERGMs) when a single network realisation is observed. The test determines how likely it is that the observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Wenkai Xu , Gesine Reinert

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) refers to a class of methods for Bayesian inference based on interacting particle systems. In this paper, we consider the originally proposed deterministic dynamics as well as a stochastic variant,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Nikolas Nüsken , D. R. Michiel Renger

We introduce propagation kernels, a general graph-kernel framework for efficiently measuring the similarity of structured data. Propagation kernels are based on monitoring how information spreads through a set of given graphs. They leverage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Marion Neumann , Roman Garnett , Christian Bauckhage , Kristian Kersting

Gradient information on the sampling distribution can be used to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators via Stein's method. An important application is that of estimating an expectation of a test function along the sample path of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for count data on $\mathbb{N}$ for the Zeta distribution with unknown parameter. The test is built on a Stein-type characterization that uses, as Stein operator, the infinitesimal generator of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Bruno Ebner , Daniel Hlubinka

In this paper, we present a minimal formalism for Stein operators which leads to different probabilistic representations of solutions to Stein equations. These in turn provide a wide family of Stein-Covariance identities which we put to use…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Marie Ernst , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

We propose a data-driven framework to learn interaction kernels in stochastic multi-agent systems. Our approach aims at identifying the functional form of nonlocal interaction and diffusion terms directly from trajectory data, without any a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Giacomo Albi , Alessandro Alla , Elisa Calzola

Stein's method is applied to obtain a general Cramer-type moderate deviation result for dependent random variables whose dependence is defined in terms of a Stein identity. A corollary for zero-bias coupling is deduced. The result is also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Louis H. Y. Chen , Xiao Fang , Qi-Man Shao

Estimating spot covariance is an important issue to study, especially with the increasing availability of high-frequency financial data. We study the estimation of spot covariance using a kernel method for high-frequency data. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Konul Mustafayeva , Weining Wang

A complete characterization of the similarity between two operator-valued multishifts with invertible operator weights is obtained purely in terms of operator weights. This generalizes several existing results of the unitary equivalence of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Soumitra Ghara , Surjit Kumar , Shailesh Trivedi

We propose a Stein characterization of the Kummer distribution on (0, $\infty$). This result follows from our observation that the density of the Kummer distribution satisfies a certain differential equation, leading to a solution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-07 Essomanda Konzou , Angelo Koudou

Several statistical approaches based on reproducing kernels have been proposed to detect abrupt changes arising in the full distribution of the observations and not only in the mean or variance. Some of these approaches enjoy good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Alain Celisse , Guillemette Marot , Morgane Pierre-Jean , Guillem Rigaill

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric test of relative goodness of fit, where the goal is to compare two models, both of which may have unobserved latent variables, such that the marginal distribution of the observed variables is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-10 Heishiro Kanagawa , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Lester Mackey , Kenji Fukumizu , Arthur Gretton

Computable Stein discrepancies have been deployed for a variety of applications, ranging from sampler selection in posterior inference to approximate Bayesian inference to goodness-of-fit testing. Existing convergence-determining Stein…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Jonathan H. Huggins , Lester Mackey

Stein kernel has recently shown promising performance on classifying images represented by symmetric positive definite (SPD) matrices. It evaluates the similarity between two SPD matrices through their eigenvalues. In this paper, we argue…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Jianjia Zhang , Lei Wang , Luping Zhou , Wanqing Li

Following recent developments in the application of Stein's method in queueing theory, this paper is intended to be a short treatment showing how Stein's method can be developed and applied to the single server queue in heavy traffic. Here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Robert E. Gaunt , Neil Walton

Pinsker's inequality states that the relative entropy $d_{\mathrm{KL}}(X, Y)$ between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ dominates the square of the total variation distance $d_{\mathrm{TV}}(X,Y)$ between $X$ and $Y$. In this paper we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan