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Reliable wildfire spread prediction is vital for risk-aware emergency planning, yet most deep learning models lack principled uncertainty quantification (UQ). Further, for boundary-sensitive cases like wildfire spread, evaluating models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jonas V. Funk

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

There are essentially three kinds of approaches to Uncertainty Quantification (UQ): (A) robust optimization, (B) Bayesian, (C) decision theory. Although (A) is robust, it is unfavorable with respect to accuracy and data assimilation. (B)…

We have recently proposed a rigorous framework for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in which UQ objectives and assumption/information set are brought into the forefront, providing a framework for the communication and comparison of UQ…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2012-02-07 M. McKerns , H. Owhadi , C. Scovel , T. J. Sullivan , M. Ortiz

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly integrated into high-stakes decision-making, the ability to reliably quantify uncertainty has become a critical requirement for safety and trust. However, current uncertainty quantification…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Seongjun Lee , Suwan Yoon , Changhee Lee

Multifidelity forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems often involve multiple quantities of interest and heterogeneous models (e.g., different grids, equations, dimensions, physics, surrogate and reduced-order models). While…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-26 M. Croci , K. E. Willcox , S. J. Wright

We demonstrate that the recently developed Optimal Uncertainty Quantification (OUQ) theory, combined with recent software enabling fast global solutions of constrained non-convex optimization problems, provides a methodology for rigorous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-16 M. McKerns , F. J. Alexander , K. S. Hickmann , T. J. Sullivan , D. E. Vaughan

Phase fractions, compositions and energies of the stable phases as a function of macroscopic composition, temperature, and pressure (X-T-P) are the principle correlations needed for the design of new materials and improvement of existing…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-02-04 Noah H Paulson , Brandon J Bocklund , Richard A Otis , Zi-Kui Liu , Marius Stan

Additive manufacturing (AM) technology is being increasingly adopted in a wide variety of application areas due to its ability to rapidly produce, prototype, and customize designs. AM techniques afford significant opportunities in regard to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-24 Ziyu Xie , Wen Jiang , Congjian Wang , Xu Wu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a major role in verification and validation of computational engineering models and simulations, and establishes trust in the predictive capability of computational models. In the materials science and…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-06-14 Anh Tran , Tim Wildey , Hojun Lim

Uncertainty quantification approaches have been more critical in large language models (LLMs), particularly high-risk applications requiring reliable outputs. However, traditional methods for uncertainty quantification, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Ferhat Ozgur Catak , Murat Kuzlu

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) research has primarily focused on closed-book factual question answering (QA), while contextual QA remains unexplored, despite its importance in real-world applications. In this work, we focus on UQ for the…

Generative video models demonstrate impressive text-to-video capabilities, spurring widespread adoption in many real-world applications. However, like large language models (LLMs), video generation models tend to hallucinate, producing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Zhiting Mei , Ola Shorinwa , Anirudha Majumdar

It is necessary to estimate the expected energy usage of a building to determine how to reduce energy usage. The expected energy usage of a building can be reliably simulated using a Building Energy Model (BEM). Many of the numerous input…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Arpan Mukherjee , Anna Kuechle Szweda , Andrew Alegria , Rahul Rai , Tarunraj Singh

An important paradigm in 3D object detection is the use of multiple modalities to enhance accuracy in both normal and challenging conditions, particularly for long-tail scenarios. To address this, recent studies have explored two directions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Minkyoung Cho , Yulong Cao , Jiachen Sun , Qingzhao Zhang , Marco Pavone , Jeong Joon Park , Heng Yang , Z. Morley Mao

Variational quantum circuits (VQCs) are a central component of many quantum machine learning algorithms, offering a hybrid quantum-classical framework that, under certain aspects, can be considered similar to classical deep neural networks.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-16 Nicola Assolini , Luca Marzari , Isabella Mastroeni , Alessandra di Pierro

A two-phase, low-Mach-number flow solver is created and verified for variable-density liquid and gas with phase change. The interface is sharply captured using a split Volume-of-Fluid method generalized for a non-divergence-free liquid…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-08 Jordi Poblador-Ibanez , William A. Sirignano

Experimental mean flows are commonly used to study wall-bounded turbulence. However, these measurements are often unable to resolve the near-wall region and thus introduce ambiguity in the velocity closest to the wall. This poses a source…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-04 Salvador Rey Gomez , Tomek Jaroslawski

Uncertainty quantification is critical for ensuring robustness in high-stakes machine learning applications. We introduce HybridFlow, a modular hybrid architecture that unifies the modeling of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Peter Van Katwyk , Karianne J. Bergen

Quantum error correction (QEC) is fundamental for suppressing noise in quantum hardware and enabling fault-tolerant quantum computation. In this paper, we propose an efficient verification framework for QEC programs. We define an assertion…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Qifan Huang , Li Zhou , Wang Fang , Mengyu Zhao , Mingsheng Ying