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In this paper, we introduce a time-continuous production model that enables random machine failures, where the failure probability depends historically on the production itself. This bidirectional relationship between historical failure…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-13 Stephan Knapp , Simone Göttlich

A new class of probabilistic models for cascading failure propagation in interconnected systems is proposed. The models take into account important characteristics of real systems that are not considered in existing generic approaches.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-03-31 Jörg Lehmann , Jakob Bernasconi

Failure times of a machinery cannot always be assumed independent and identically distributed, e.g. if after reparations the machinery is not restored to a same-as-new condition. Framed within the renewal processes approach, a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Arrigo Coen , Luis Gutiérrez , Ramsés H. Mena

We present an approach that can be useful when the network or system performance is described by a model that is not Markovian. Although most performance models are based on Markov chains or Markov processes, in some cases the Markov…

Performance · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Andras Farago

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

Learning processes by exploiting restricted domain knowledge is an important task across a plethora of scientific areas, with more and more hybrid training methods additively combining data-driven and model-based approaches. Although the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Yann Claes , Vân Anh Huynh-Thu , Pierre Geurts

We establish heavy traffic limit theorems for queue-length processes in critically loaded single class queueing networks with state dependent arrival and service rates. A distinguishing feature of our model is non-Markovian state…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-18 Chihoon Lee , Anatolii puhalskii

We introduce a modeling framework for an urban tram network based on a hyperbolic partial differential equation describing the transport of passengers along the network, coupled with a family of stochastic processes representing passenger…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Thomas Schillinger

We propose to model the dynamics of metabolic networks from a systems biology point of view by four dynamical structure elements: potential function, transverse matrix, degradation matrix, and stochastic force. These four elements are…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 P. Ao

Probabilistic generative models based on measure transport, such as diffusion and flow-based models, are often formulated in the language of Markovian stochastic dynamics, where the choice of the underlying process impacts both algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Yinuo Ren , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

In this article, we consider transport networks with uncertain demands. Network dynamics are given by linear hyperbolic partial differential equations and suitable coupling conditions, while demands are incorporated as solutions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger

Stochastic reaction networks are dynamical models of biochemical reaction systems and form a particular class of continuous-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{N}^n$. Here we provide a fundamental characterisation that connects structural…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Daniele Cappelletti , Carsten Wiuf

In this paper, we analyze the relative errors that crop up in the various reliability measures due to the tacit assumption that the components are independently working associated with a $n$-component series system or a parallel system…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda Kumar Nanda , Subhashree Patra

The beta distribution serves as a canonical tool for modeling probabilities in statistics and machine learning. However, there is limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for modeling dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Changwoo J. Lee , Alessandro Zito , Huiyan Sang , David B. Dunson

Mathematical modeling of production systems is the foundation of all model-based approaches for production system analysis, design, improvement, and control. To construct such a model for the stochastic process of the production system more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Yuting Sun , Liang Zhang

Understanding and predicting the dynamical properties of systems involving dry friction is a major concern in physics and engineering. It abounds in many mechanical processes, from the sound produced by a violin to the screeching of chalk…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Josselin Garnier , Ziyu Lu , Laurent Mertz

This paper is devoted to the study of hyperbolic systems of linear partial differential equations perturbed by a Brownian motion. The existence and uniqueness of solutions are proved by an energy method. The specific features of this class…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-29 Adnan Aboulalaa

Model-based diagnosis reasons backwards from a functional schematic of a system to isolate faults given observations of anomalous behavior. We develop a fully probabilistic approach to model based diagnosis and extend it to support…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Sampath Srinivas

A probabilistic method for solving time-dependent load-transfer models of fracture is developed. It is applicable to any rule of load redistribution, i.e, local, hierarchical, etc. In the new method, the fluctuations are generated during…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-17 J. B. Gomez , Y. Moreno , A. F. Pacheco

In this paper, we model dependence between operational risks by allowing risk profiles to evolve stochastically in time and to be dependent. This allows for a flexible correlation structure where the dependence between frequencies of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-31 Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Mario V. Wüthrich
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