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We present a scalable nonparametric Bayesian method to perform network reconstruction from observed functional behavior that at the same time infers the communities present in the network. We show that the joint reconstruction with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-23 Tiago P. Peixoto

Why do people who disagree about one subject tend to disagree about other subjects as well? In this paper, we introduce a model to explore this phenomenon of "epistemic factionization". Agents attempt to discover the truth about multiple…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-04 James Owen Weatherall , Cailin O'Connor

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

In the last years, the study of rumor spreading on social networks produced a lot of interest among the scientific community, expecially due to the role of social networks in the last political events. The goal of this work is to reproduce…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Mattia Mazzoli , Tullio Re , Roberto Bertilone , Marco Maggiora , Jacopo Pellegrino

We study the performance of different methods for processing information, incorporating narrative selection within an evolutionary model. All agents update their beliefs according to Bayes' Rule, but some strategically choose the narrative…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-06 Federico Innocenti , Roberto Rozzi

A Bayesian belief network models a joint distribution with an directed acyclic graph representing dependencies among variables and network parameters characterizing conditional distributions. The parameters are viewed as random variables to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Peter Hooper , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Russell Greiner , Bret Hoehn

In this work, we consider a group of n agents which interact with each other in a cooperative framework. A Laplacian-based model is proposed to govern the evolution of opinions in the group when the agents are subjected to external biases…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Akshay Nagesh Kamthe , Vishnudatta Thota , Aashi Shrinate , Twinkle Tripathy

We develop a Bayesian hierarchical model to identify communities in networks for which we do not observe the edges directly, but instead observe a series of interdependent signals for each of the nodes. Fitting the model provides an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Till Hoffmann , Leto Peel , Renaud Lambiotte , Nick S. Jones

Accurately simulating human opinion dynamics is crucial for understanding a variety of societal phenomena, including polarization and the spread of misinformation. However, the agent-based models (ABMs) commonly used for such simulations…

Online social networks (OSN) contain extensive amount of information about the underlying society that is yet to be explored. One of the most feasible technique to fetch information from OSN, crawling through Application Programming…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Bruno Ribeiro , Jithin K. Sreedharan

We study the outcomes of information aggregation in online social networks. Our main result is that networks with certain realistic structural properties avoid information cascades and enable a population to effectively aggregate…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-25 Michal Feldman , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , S. Matthew Weinberg

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Detecting rumors on social media is a very critical task with significant implications to the economy, public health, etc. Previous works generally capture effective features from texts and the propagation structure. However, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Lingwei Wei , Dou Hu , Wei Zhou , Zhaojuan Yue , Songlin Hu

Statistical significance of network clustering has been an unresolved problem since it was observed that community detection algorithms produce false positives even in random graphs. After a phase transition between undetectable and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Jeremi K. Ochab

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

We examine how misinformation spreads in social networks composed of individuals with long-term offline relationships. Especially, we focus on why misinformation persists and diffuses despite being recognized by most as false. In our…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-13 Shuige Liu

In many social networks it is a useful assumption that, regarding a given quality, an underlying hierarchy of the connected individuals exists, and that the outcome of interactions is to some extent determined by the relative positions in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-28 Gábor Timár